Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty
w w l w l
0 - 1
Full Time
Levski Sofia
d w w d w
Reinaldo
13'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty are having a rough time lately, having lost their last three matches. They did manage a solid away win a few weeks ago, but they have generally found it hard to score and have been on the losing side far too often. Levski Sofia, their opponent, are also not in great shape, with only one win in their last five games and a couple of draws. They have conceded a lot of goals in some recent matches, but they have also shown they can score.

These two teams met just last week, and it was a tight game with only one goal, won by Levski Sofia. Based on the recent form, both sides are struggling and this looks like a very close and cautious match, with neither team showing much confidence. A draw seems like the most likely outcome, though Levski Sofia’s recent head-to-head win gives them a slight edge to avoid defeat.

Last Updated: 09 Aug 2026 07:20 AM
starting lineups
 
T. Anarbekov
 
L. Mata
 
Lucas Áfrico
 
A. Shirobokov
6.9
 
D. Kasabulat
 
Jaakko Oksanen
6.2
 
O. Baybek
 
O. Jukkola
 
G. Mendonca
 
A. Mrynskiy
 
M. Gual
 
A. Centelles
7.2
 
Nikola Serafimov
 
K. Dimitrov
7
 
Aldair
 
M. El Moubarik
 
Gašper Trdin
6.6
 
Everton Bala
 
Serginho
 
A. Okoflex
7.3
 
Reinaldo
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Kairat Almaty
I. Bekbolat
46' Out: O. Baybek
46
Edmilson Santos
64' Out: D. Kasabulat
64
M. Birkurmanov
' Out: M. Gual
84
Substitutes for Levski Sofia
Mazire Soula
79' Out: Aldair
79
Maicon
79' Out: Everton Bala
79
S. Hevertton
' Out: A. Okoflex
79
J. Perea
83' Out: Reinaldo
83
Asen Ivanov Mitkov
' Out: Serginho
90
statistics
56 Ball Possession 44
0 Goals 1
match facts

REFEREE

D. Siebert

  • Levski Sofia dominated the first leg with a 1-0 home win, giving them a crucial advantage ahead of this Champions League qualifier.
  • Kairat Almaty have lost four of their last five matches, with three consecutive 1-0 defeats heading into this clash.
  • Levski Sofia's away form is shaky, having failed to win in their last four matches on the road (2 draws, 2 losses).
  • The predictions heavily favor the Bulgarian side, with a 45% chance of a draw and a 45% chance of an away win, compared to just 10% for the home team.
  • Kairat Almaty average just 0.92 goals per game, while Levski Sofia score at a much healthier rate of 1.50 goals per match.
  • Possession is expected to be one-sided, with Levski Sofia averaging 61% of the ball compared to Kairat's 41%.
  • In the head-to-head comparison, Levski Sofia hold a perfect 100% record against Kairat Almaty, making them clear favorites on paper.
  • Bookmakers at 1xBet offer odds of 1.59 for a "Draw or Levski Sofia" double chance, suggesting a very low probability of a home victory.
  • The Poisson distribution model gives Kairat Almaty a surprisingly high 73% chance of winning, contradicting other predictive metrics.
  • The away team's defensive record is evenly matched with the hosts at 50-50, but their superior attack (60%) gives them the edge.
  • Low-scoring encounters have been a theme for Kairat, as three of their last four defeats were decided by a single goal (1-0).
  • Levski Sofia have struggled to keep clean sheets on the road, conceding in both of their away draws and shipping four goals in a recent 4-0 loss.
Last Updated: 09 Aug 2026 07:20 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 4
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goals 2
2 Goals Conceded 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
last matches
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
8
4
3
1
3
15
#9
6
3
0
3
1
9