Rio Ave vs Nacional
S. Clemmensen
39'
Diogo Bezerra
57'
J. Blesa
72'
N. Kader
32'
N. Kader
59'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rio Ave
Nacional
|
Probability %
1
x
2
45%
28%
27%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.61
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rio Ave
Nacional
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
52%
48%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.61
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rio Ave
Nacional
|
HТ/FT Probability %
26%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rio Ave
Nacional
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.61
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rio Ave
Nacional
|
Probability %
62%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.61
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : Rio Ave or draw
Rio Ave have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of wins but also some heavy losses, so they're not exactly flying high. Nacional, on the other hand, have been in better form with three wins in their last five, including a couple of strong away performances. When these two have met recently, the games have often had plenty of goals — one ended four-nil, another was a three-three draw, so there's usually something happening at both ends.
This one looks pretty even. Rio Ave are at home and have generally done okay against Nacional over the years, but Nacional are the ones arriving in better shape. Given how tight their recent meetings have been and how both teams have had ups and downs, a draw seems like the most likely outcome, though Rio Ave could just edge it at home.
Last Updated: 09 Oct 2026 12:02 PM
Substitutes for Rio Ave 
Roland Galčík
63' Out: S. Clemmensen
63
F. Petrasso
' Out: M. Patricio
63
D. Nascimento
76' Out: Diogo Bezerra
76
' Out: M. Sellouki
76
T. Monteiro
78' Out: J. Blesa
78
Substitutes for Nacional
Fernando Nava
' Out: Daniel Junior
68
M. Baeza
' Out: C. Labidi
68
A. Obando
' Out: M. Djalo
78
J. Silva
81' Out: N. Kader
81
S. Gavriel
' Out:
81
3
0
1
2d Yellow / Red Cards
0
8
Corners
8
7
Fouls
17
0
Offsides
3
56
Ball Possession
44
11
Shots
12
7
Shots on Goal
5
3
Goals
2
0
Shots off Goal
6
4
Blocked Shots
1
6
Shots insidebox
8
5
Shots outsidebox
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
423
Total passes
316
361
Passes accurate
244
1.74
Expected Goals
1.28
REFEREE
C. Macedo
- Rio Ave host Nacional in the Primeira Liga 2026-2027, kicking off Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:30 GMT.
- Nacional won the most recent head-to-head 4-0, but the last two meetings before that both ended level.
- Rio Ave are unbeaten in just one of the last eight head-to-heads, with Nacional dominating the recent record.
- Rio Ave have won two of their last five league matches, but lost the other two.
- Nacional have won three of their last five matches, including a 4-0 victory on the road.
- Nacional have scored at least three goals in three of their last five matches.
- Rio Ave average 0.96 goals per game, while Nacional slightly edge them with 1.09 per match.
- Nacional average more shots per game (11.70) compared to Rio Ave (10.52).
- Both teams average similar possession, with Rio Ave on 49.05% and Nacional on 48.43%.
- Prediction models give Rio Ave a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of drawing.
- The recommended bet is a double chance on Rio Ave or draw, priced at 1.38 with 1xBet.
- Form comparison heavily favors Rio Ave, though overall statistical models rate the match almost even.
Total
Per Match
66
Corners
45
106
Fouls
136
11
Offsides
10
146
Shots
112
60
Shots on Goal
39
18
Yellow Cards
19
1
Red Cards
1
12
Goals
14
14
Goals Conceded
12
2
Clean Sheets
3
Last matches for RIO 
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Rio Ave
3
Nacional
2
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Rio Ave
0
Alverca
1
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Rio Ave
3
Estrela
3
D
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Rio Ave
0
Santa Clara
4
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
Rio Ave
0
Sporting CP
4
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Rio Ave
2
Estoril
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Rio Ave
0
FC Porto
2
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Rio Ave
0
GIL Vicente
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
Rio Ave
1
Casa Pia
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
11 MAY, 2026
Rio Ave
1
Sporting CP
4
L
Last matches for NAC
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Nacional
2
Rio Ave
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Nacional
0
Famalicao
4
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Nacional
1
Alverca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Nacional
0
Sporting CP
2
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Nacional
2
Estrela
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Nacional
0
Guimaraes
1
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Nacional
2
Estoril
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
10 AUG, 2026
Nacional
2
Santa Clara
2
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
Nacional
2
Guimaraes
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
11 MAY, 2026
Nacional
0
Santa Clara
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.19
Dafabet
3.58
1xBet
3.71
Pinnacle
99.45 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Dafabet
2.19
3.40
3.45
96.10%
Pinnacle
2.16
3.32
3.71
96.74%
SBO
2.14
3.09
3.13
90.06%
1xBet
Bonus
2.13
3.58
3.54
96.97%
Betano
2.12
3.35
3.60
95.42%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.82
Pinnacle
2.26
Pinnacle
4.12
Pinnacle
96.17 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.82
2.26
4.12
96.17%
Betano
2.80
2.07
4.05
91.98%
SBO
2.64
2.11
3.58
88.34%
Betfair
2.63
2.10
3.75
89.04%
William Hill
2.62
2.15
3.80
90.09%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.62
Bet365
2.47
Betano
3.65
Betano
94.29 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.62
2.30
3.25
88.96%
William Hill
2.45
2.30
3.60
89.23%
Betano
2.40
2.47
3.65
91.28%
Marathonbet
2.39
2.45
3.58
90.42%
1xBet
Bonus
2.39
2.45
3.58
90.42%
