AS Roma vs Genoa

AS Roma
d w d d l
2 - 0
1.45
xG
0.49
Full Time
Genoa
l d w l w
S. Castro
50'
E. Lulli
68'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Genoa Genoa
Probability %
1 x 2
59%
24%
16%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.63
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Genoa Genoa
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
51%
49%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.63
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Genoa Genoa
HТ/FT Probability %
36%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Genoa Genoa
Probability %
Yes/ No
48%
52%
Pred
No
Avg. Goal
2.63
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Genoa Genoa
Probability %
59%
Pred
Home -0.5
Avg. Goal
2.63
Score Pred.
3-0

Winner : AS Roma

AS Roma come into this match in decent shape. They've won a couple of their recent games and drawn a few, so they're not losing much. Genoa, on the other hand, are struggling — they've lost most of their recent matches, with only one win to show for it. When these two teams have met recently, Roma has had the upper hand, winning most of the games, and a few of those matches had plenty of goals.

This looks like a match where Roma should be the stronger side. Genoa are having a tough time, while Roma are playing with more confidence. Based on how both teams have been playing, Roma are the likely winners here.

Last Updated: 15 Oct 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
P. Gollini
 
K. Koulierakis
 
E. Ndicka
 
Leonardo Balerdi
 
D. Rensch
6.63
 
N. Pisilli
 
M. De Roon
7.49
 
E. Lulli
 
Rodrigo Mora
6.99
 
M. Soule
7.97
 
S. Castro
 
J. Bijlow
6.15
 
J. Vasquez
5.5
 
L. Ostigard
 
A. Marcandalli
 
D. Puczka
 
M. Frendrup
 
S. Wiafe
5.92
 
M. E. Ellertsson
 
S. El Shaarawy
 
Junior Messias
 
M. Osmajić
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for AS Roma
L. Pellegrini
' Out: Rodrigo Mora
63
M. Hermoso
' Out: K. Koulierakis
63
Wesley
78' Out: E. Lulli
78
D. Ghilardi
' Out: D. Rensch
88
Substitutes for Genoa
Vitinha
' Out: S. El Shaarawy
65
J. Robinho
' Out: Junior Messias
83
Amorim
' Out: M. Frendrup
83
statistics
66 Ball Possession 34
2 Goals 0
1.45 Expected Goals 0.49
match facts

REFEREE

R. Abisso

STADIUM

Stadio Olimpico

LOCATION

Roma

  • Serie A 2026-2027 clash: AS Roma host Genoa.
  • Head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Roma's favour with seven wins in the last ten meetings.
  • Genoa won the most recent encounter 2-1 in March 2026.
  • Roma are unbeaten in their last five matches (W2, D3).
  • Genoa have lost three of their last five (W1, D1, L3).
  • Roma average 13.89 shots per game compared to Genoa's 10.45.
  • Roma average 52.94% possession; Genoa 45.43%.
  • Roma have scored an average of 1.37 goals per game this season, Genoa just 0.89.
  • The prediction model gives Roma a 50% win chance and a 50% draw chance, with 0% for Genoa.
  • Poisson distribution strongly favours Roma at 87% versus Genoa's 13%.
  • Median shots per game: Roma 16, Genoa 11.
  • Bet365 lists Roma as Match Winner at odds of 1.50.
Last Updated: 15 Oct 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
66 Corners 25
133 Fouls 129
17 Offsides 19
181 Shots 101
54 Shots on Goal 39
19 Yellow Cards 21
2 Red Cards 1
18 Goals 10
10 Goals Conceded 18
5 Clean Sheets 1
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
7
5
2
0
13
17
#18
7
1
1
5
-8
4
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.66
1xBet
4.06
1xBet
6.00
Bet365
98.49 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.66
4.06
5.97
98.40%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.65
3.90
6.00
97.17%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.62
3.94
5.80
95.83%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.60
3.75
5.00
91.60%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.60
3.90
6.00
95.41%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.21
Pinnacle
2.38
Pinnacle
6.17
Pinnacle
96.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.21
2.38
6.17
96.64%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.17
2.18
5.95
91.94%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.17
2.18
5.95
91.94%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.10
2.30
6.00
92.80%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.05
2.30
5.50
90.55%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.00
William Hill
2.62
Marathonbet
5.35
Marathonbet
93.58 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.00
2.50
5.00
90.91%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.93
2.62
5.35
92.02%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.93
2.62
5.35
92.02%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.91
2.60
5.00
90.24%