Chaves are having a rough time right now — they haven't won any of their last five matches, with three losses and two draws, and they've been conceding plenty of goals along the way. Penafiel, on the other hand, are in much better shape, having won three of their last five, including their most recent game. That recent form makes Penafiel look like the stronger side going into this one.

When these two have met recently, the games have mostly gone Penafiel's way — they've won most of the last few meetings, and those matches were generally low-scoring and tight rather than wild and open. Given Chaves' struggles and Penafiel's sharper form, this looks like a match Penafiel should edge, though it's likely to be a close, cagey affair rather than a high-scoring one.