Farense vs Penafiel
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Farense
Penafiel
|
Probability %
1
x
2
48%
28%
25%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.5
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Farense
Penafiel
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
54%
46%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.5
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Farense
Penafiel
|
HТ/FT Probability %
27%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Farense
Penafiel
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
50%
50%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.5
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Farense
Penafiel
|
Probability %
66%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.5
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Double chance : Farense or draw
Farense are having a rough run - they've lost three of their last five games and haven't won any of them, so they're clearly struggling for confidence right now. Penafiel, on the other hand, are in much better shape, having won three of their last five, including two strong wins on the road.
When these two teams meet, the games are usually tight and low-scoring, with their recent meetings ending in draws and very few goals. Because both sides look evenly matched and Farense have home advantage while Penafiel are the sharper team, this looks like a close game that could easily end in a draw.
Last Updated: 22 Oct 2026 07:36 AM- Farense host Penafiel in the Segunda Liga 2026-2027, with both sides level on 1.02 average goals per game this season.
- Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight: three of the last six ended level, including 1-1 and 0-0 in the most recent two clashes.
- Farense are without a win in their last five matches (two draws, three defeats), including a heavy 4-0 loss in early October.
- Penafiel arrive in strong form with three wins from their last five, including back-to-back 2-1 victories on the road.
- Farense average more shots per game (10.88) than Penafiel (8.63), but both teams share an identical goals average.
- Penafiel edge the possession battle slightly, averaging 47.42% compared to Farense's 45.15%.
- Farense hold the historical upper hand in this fixture, winning 85% of the head-to-head comparison metrics.
- The prediction model favours a home result or draw, with a 35% chance for both Farense win and draw, and 30% for an away victory.
- Goals market projections lean toward Farense at 73%, suggesting the hosts are expected to be more involved in the scoring.
- The Poisson distribution model gives Farense a 57% edge over Penafiel's 43%, despite the visitors' superior recent form.
- Form comparison tilts toward Penafiel at 60%, contrasting sharply with Farense's head-to-head dominance.
- Recommended bet is a Double Chance on Farense or draw, priced at 1.25 with William Hill.
Total
Per Match
25
Corners
25
65
Fouls
61
5
Offsides
5
40
Shots
42
18
Shots on Goal
14
15
Yellow Cards
14
1
Red Cards
1
10
Goals
5
5
Goals Conceded
10
2
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for FAR 
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Farense
2
Feirense
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
04 OCT, 2026
Farense
4
Chaves
0
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Farense
0
AVS
0
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Farense
1
Sporting CP B
2
L
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Farense
1
Felgueiras 1932
1
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Farense
3
FC Porto B
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Farense
2
Torreense
1
W
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
30 MAY, 2026
Farense
0
CF Os Belenenses
0
D
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
23 MAY, 2026
Farense
1
CF Os Belenenses
0
W
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Farense
0
Portimonense
1
L
Last matches for PEN
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Penafiel
1
AVS
2
L
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Penafiel
2
Felgueiras 1932
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Penafiel
4
Academica
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Penafiel
3
FC Porto B
0
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Penafiel
2
Sporting CP B
0
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Penafiel
2
Torreense
2
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
08 AUG, 2026
Penafiel
0
Portimonense
1
L
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Penafiel
1
Pacos Ferreira
2
L
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Penafiel
1
Maritimo
0
W
Segunda Liga 2025-2026
04 MAY, 2026
Penafiel
2
Torreense
3
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
1.97
Pinnacle
3.39
Pinnacle
3.82
1xBet
93.95 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.97
3.39
3.79
93.77%
William Hill
1.95
3.10
3.60
89.83%
1xBet
Bonus
1.95
3.28
3.82
92.64%
Marathonbet
1.93
3.28
3.80
92.07%
Bet365
1.91
3.10
3.70
89.57%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.62
Bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
4.67
1xBet
94.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.62
2.10
4.33
91.84%
Pinnacle
2.61
2.17
4.45
93.57%
1xBet
Bonus
2.61
1.99
4.67
90.93%
Marathonbet
2.59
1.99
4.50
90.02%
William Hill
2.45
2.15
4.20
89.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.31
1xBet
2.38
Bet365
4.06
1xBet
90.96 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
2.31
2.38
4.06
90.96%
William Hill
2.30
2.30
4.00
89.32%
Bet365
2.30
2.38
3.75
89.16%
Marathonbet
2.29
2.38
3.94
90.04%
