Inter Miami vs New York City FC

Inter Miami
d d d l w
2 - 0
2.31
xG
1.53
Full Time
New York City FC
l w l d l
G. Berterame
20'
R. De Paul
45'+5'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Inter Miami Inter Miami
New York City FC New York City FC
Probability %
1 x 2
62%
20%
18%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.46
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Inter Miami Inter Miami
New York City FC New York City FC
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
33%
67%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.46
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Inter Miami Inter Miami
New York City FC New York City FC
HТ/FT Probability %
37%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Inter Miami Inter Miami
New York City FC New York City FC
Probability %
Yes/ No
62%
38%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.46
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Inter Miami Inter Miami
New York City FC New York City FC
Probability %
51%
Pred
Home -1
Avg. Goal
3.46
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Inter Miami or draw

Inter Miami are going through a rough patch right now. They have lost their last two matches, including a heavy defeat, and before that they settled for three draws in a row. So they are not in great form, but they have been hard to beat at home in this matchup. When these two teams meet, the games often have plenty of goals, with several high-scoring results in recent meetings.

New York City FC have been the opposite lately — they won three games in a row before a draw and a narrow loss, so they come in with a bit more confidence. Still, Inter Miami have had the upper hand in this fixture over the years. This looks like a close and open game, with both teams capable of scoring. Given the history and the fact that Miami rarely lose to NYCFC, the most likely outcome is a win for Inter Miami or a draw.

Last Updated: 12 Oct 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
D. St.Clair
 
Reguilón
 
Micael
 
Casemiro
 
G. Lujan
 
D. Ayala
8.2
 
R. De Paul
7.79
 
G. Berterame
 
Luis Suárez
 
L. Messi
 
Matthew Freese
 
N. Cavallo
 
J. Sands
 
Thiago Martins
 
T. Gray
 
A. Perea
 
A. O'Neill
 
B. Traoré
 
N. Mercau
 
A. Ojeda
 
A. Martinez
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Inter Miami
T. Segovia
65' Out:
65
Fricio Caicedo
' Out: Reguilón
74
Riquelme Fillipi
75' Out: G. Berterame
75
I. Fray
' Out: D. Ayala
90
Substitutes for New York City FC
H. Wolf
' Out: A. Martinez
58
K. O’Toole
' Out: N. Cavallo
58
Luighi Hanri
' Out: B. Traoré
65
M. Jones
' Out: A. Ojeda
85
Talles Magno
' Out: A. O’Neill
85
statistics
57 Ball Possession 43
2 Goals 0
2.31 Expected Goals 1.53
match facts

REFEREE

L. Hernandez

  • Inter Miami host New York City FC in Major League Soccer 2026-2027 action.
  • Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last six home meetings with NYCFC, though four ended in draws.
  • The most recent head-to-head saw Inter Miami win 3-2 away in March 2026.
  • NYCFC have won four of the last eight head-to-heads, including a 5-1 rout in November 2025.
  • Inter Miami are without a win in their last five matches (three draws, two defeats).
  • NYCFC have won three of their last five, but lost their most recent outing 2-1.
  • Inter Miami average 1.68 goals per game, slightly more than NYCFC's 1.46.
  • NYCFC edge the shot count with 13.36 per game compared to Inter Miami's 11.94.
  • NYCFC also hold the possession advantage, averaging 54.02% to Inter Miami's 52.17%.
  • The head-to-head record heavily favors Inter Miami in prediction models at 85% to 15%.
  • Prediction gives Inter Miami a 45% win chance and the draw 45%, with NYCFC at just 10%.
  • Recommended bet: Double Chance Inter Miami or Draw, priced at 1.17 with Betano.
Last Updated: 12 Oct 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
76 Corners 67
223 Fouls 228
31 Offsides 29
184 Shots 196
75 Shots on Goal 72
52 Yellow Cards 37
2 Red Cards 0
25 Goals 25
25 Goals Conceded 25
2 Clean Sheets 5
last matches
major league soccer standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
30
15
10
5
22
55
#21
30
8
10
12
2
34
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.57
Pinnacle
4.87
Pinnacle
5.40
Betano
97.33 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.57
4.87
5.10
96.31%
Betano Betano Logo
1.57
4.85
5.40
97.25%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.56
4.80
5.20
96.00%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.55
4.75
5.25
95.59%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.53
4.20
4.80
90.91%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.02
Betano
2.84
Pinnacle
5.38
Pinnacle
96.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.02
2.57
4.85
91.71%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.99
2.84
5.38
96.11%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.96
2.59
4.80
90.53%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.95
2.75
5.00
92.90%
SBO SBO Logo
1.94
2.60
4.38
88.62%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.85
William Hill
3.10
Bet365
4.55
Marathonbet
92.34 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.85
2.90
4.33
89.58%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.80
3.10
4.33
90.16%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.80
3.04
4.55
90.56%
Betano Betano Logo
1.80
3.05
4.55
90.65%