Groningen vs Ajax
B. Willumsson
49'
T. van Bergen
83'
J. Brandt
27'
A. Bouwman
37'
J. Brandt
60'
J. Mokio
69'
J. Mokio
75'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Groningen
Ajax
|
Probability %
1
x
2
24%
23%
53%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
3.66
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Groningen
Ajax
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
29%
71%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.66
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Groningen
Ajax
|
HТ/FT Probability %
31%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Groningen
Ajax
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
68%
32%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.66
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Groningen
Ajax
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Home -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
3.66
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals
Groningen come into this match in decent form, having won their most recent game and picking up a couple of draws along the way. However, when they face Ajax, history is not on their side. Ajax have dominated this fixture for years, winning almost every recent meeting, and the matches between them usually have plenty of goals. Ajax have also been scoring freely in their recent games, even though they have drawn a few more than they would like.
Ajax look the stronger side here and are more likely to win, though Groningen are at home and could make it difficult. With both teams tending to score and concede, this game could easily see several goals. Based on everything, Ajax are the favourites to come away with the win.
Last Updated: 16 Oct 2026 12:03 PM
Substitutes for Groningen 
M. Csinger
' Out: J. Ondrejka
67
N. Eggens
' Out: Tika de Jonge
83
T. Land
83' Out: B. Willumsson
83
Ryan Metu
' Out: D. van der Werff
83
W. Prins
' Out: M. Rente
83
Substitutes for Ajax
A. Ouazane
74' Out: J. Brandt
74
T. Arokodare
' Out: Marcos Leonardo
74
R. Bounida
' Out: O. Gloukh
82
Y. Bissouma
' Out: D. Klaassen
82
REFEREE
D. Higler
STADIUM
Euroborg
LOCATION
Groningen
- Groningen host Ajax at Euroborg in the Eredivisie 2026-2027.
- Ajax have dominated this fixture, winning 8 of the last 11 meetings.
- Groningen's last win over Ajax came in May 2023, a 3-2 away victory.
- Ajax have scored 3+ goals in 6 of the last 11 head-to-head clashes.
- Groningen are unbeaten in their last 3 matches (W1, D2).
- Ajax are unbeaten in their last 4 (W2, D2), though both recent games ended level.
- Ajax average 2.10 goals per game this season, compared to Groningen's 1.20.
- Ajax average 61.28% possession, well above Groningen's 49.42%.
- Ajax also lead the shot count, averaging 16.71 per match versus Groningen's 12.88.
- The prediction gives a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for an Ajax win.
- Poisson distribution strongly favours Ajax at 86% versus Groningen's 14%.
- Recommended bet: Double Chance Draw/Ajax with over 1.5 goals, priced at 1.33 with Betano.
Total
Per Match
37
Corners
66
125
Fouls
115
13
Offsides
29
124
Shots
201
47
Shots on Goal
83
18
Yellow Cards
15
1
Red Cards
0
14
Goals
33
33
Goals Conceded
14
1
Clean Sheets
3
Last matches for GRO 
Eredivisie 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Groningen
2
Ajax
5
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Groningen
5
Excelsior
1
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
18 SEP, 2026
Groningen
3
PEC Zwolle
0
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Groningen
1
GO Ahead Eagles
1
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Groningen
2
Twente
2
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
Groningen
2
Fortuna Sittard
3
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Groningen
1
PSV Eindhoven
5
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Groningen
4
ADO Den Haag
1
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Groningen
2
Utrecht
1
W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
21 MAY, 2026
Groningen
0
Ajax
2
L
Last matches for AJA
Eredivisie 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Ajax
5
Groningen
2
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Ajax
1
HNK Hajduk Split
2
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Ajax
1
NEC Nijmegen
1
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Ajax
2
Excelsior
2
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Ajax
5
Willem II
1
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Ajax
5
Fortuna Sittard
1
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Ajax
1
PSV Eindhoven
3
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Ajax
4
Telstar
0
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
27 AUG, 2026
Ajax
5
FC Sion
3
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
20 AUG, 2026
Ajax
4
FC Sion
2
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
4.10
Bet365
4.37
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
98.69 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
4.10
4.10
1.75
94.41%
Pinnacle
3.94
4.37
1.81
96.61%
1xBet
Bonus
3.80
4.22
1.85
96.09%
Marathonbet
3.68
4.10
1.79
93.08%
William Hill
3.60
3.90
1.80
91.76%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.04
Pinnacle
2.81
Pinnacle
2.30
Pinnacle
96.32 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
4.04
2.81
2.30
96.32%
Marathonbet
3.82
2.52
2.24
90.49%
1xBet
Bonus
3.82
2.52
2.24
90.49%
Bet365
3.75
2.62
2.25
91.51%
William Hill
3.50
2.62
2.25
89.94%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.54
Marathonbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.15
William Hill
92.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
3.54
3.00
2.04
90.41%
1xBet
Bonus
3.54
3.00
2.04
90.41%
Bet365
3.50
2.88
2.05
89.23%
William Hill
3.40
2.80
2.15
89.58%
