AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
d l w d w
3 - 2
2.49
xG
1.71
Full Time
Atalanta
l l l w w
Gonçalo Ramos
24'
Adrien Rabiot
43'
M. Gila
57'
G. Gaetano
66'
N. Krstovic
81'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
1 x 2
56%
24%
20%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.05
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
41%
59%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.05
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
HТ/FT Probability %
33%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
Yes/ No
59%
41%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.05
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AC Milan AC Milan
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
72%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
3.05
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : AC Milan or draw

AC Milan come into this one without a win in their last few games, drawing most of them and losing a couple, so they're not in great rhythm right now. Atalanta are struggling even more, having lost almost all of their recent matches. When these two meet, the games are usually tight and low-scoring, often ending level or decided by a single goal.

Given Atalanta's poor run and Milan being slightly more solid, this looks like a match Milan should avoid losing. A draw is very possible too, but Atalanta winning seems unlikely.

Last Updated: 16 Oct 2026 12:04 PM
starting lineups
 
M. Maignan
 
S. Pavlovic
 
K. De Winter
7.9
 
M. Gila
 
D. Moreira
 
L. Modrić
 
Y. Musah
 
S. Chukwueze
 
C. Pulisic
7.02
 
Gonçalo Ramos
9
 
Adrien Rabiot
 
M. Carnesecchi
 
L. Bernasconi
 
S. Kolasinac
 
T. Kristensen
 
R. Bellanova
 
M. Pasalic
6.29
 
Ederson
 
L. Samardzic
 
J. Rowe
7.58
 
N. Krstovic
 
C. De Ketelaere
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for AC Milan
O. Hutchinson
' Out: S. Chukwueze
53
A. Jashari
' Out: C. Pulisic
75
P. Estupinan
' Out: Y. Musah
75
R. Loftus-Cheek
' Out: L. Modrić
75
F. Tomori
84' Out: M. Gila
84
Substitutes for Atalanta
R. Obric
' Out: S. Kolasinac
20
G. Gaetano
' Out: M. Pasalic
59
N. Zalewski
' Out: J. Rowe
59
G. Scamacca
' Out: L. Samardzic
75
D. Zappacosta
' Out: L. Bernasconi
75
statistics
56 Ball Possession 44
3 Goals 2
2.49 Expected Goals 1.71
match facts

REFEREE

D. Chiffi

STADIUM

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

LOCATION

Milano

  • AC Milan host Atalanta in Serie A 2026-2027 at an unnamed stadium.
  • Kickoff is scheduled for 18 October 2026 at 16:00 GMT.
  • Prediction advice favors a Double Chance: AC Milan or draw.
  • Win probability: AC Milan 45%, draw 45%, Atalanta 10%.
  • AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches against Atalanta (W3 D2).
  • The last meeting ended 3-2 in favor of Atalanta (away win).
  • AC Milan's recent form: D-L-D-D-L, with just one win in their last five.
  • Atalanta's recent form: L-L-W-L-L, struggling with four defeats in five.
  • AC Milan average 1.50 goals per game, Atalanta slightly higher at 1.63.
  • Both teams average over 14 shots per game, suggesting an open contest.
  • Possession stats are nearly identical: Milan 53.55%, Atalanta 52.91%.
  • H2H comparison heavily favors Atalanta (85% vs 15%), but Milan's overall form edges it (60% vs 40%).
Last Updated: 16 Oct 2026 12:04 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
48 Corners 66
125 Fouls 168
16 Offsides 12
165 Shots 167
57 Shots on Goal 50
30 Yellow Cards 26
1 Red Cards 1
20 Goals 19
19 Goals Conceded 20
3 Clean Sheets 2
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
7
4
3
0
7
15
#11
7
3
0
4
-1
9
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

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William Hill
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4.33
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BOOKMAKERS
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DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
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2.60
4.20
90.05%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
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Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
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1xBet 1xBet Logo
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