AC Milan vs Atalanta
Gonçalo Ramos
24'
Adrien Rabiot
43'
M. Gila
57'
G. Gaetano
66'
N. Krstovic
81'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Probability %
1
x
2
56%
24%
20%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
41%
59%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
HТ/FT Probability %
33%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
59%
41%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Probability %
72%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : AC Milan or draw
AC Milan come into this one without a win in their last few games, drawing most of them and losing a couple, so they're not in great rhythm right now. Atalanta are struggling even more, having lost almost all of their recent matches. When these two meet, the games are usually tight and low-scoring, often ending level or decided by a single goal.
Given Atalanta's poor run and Milan being slightly more solid, this looks like a match Milan should avoid losing. A draw is very possible too, but Atalanta winning seems unlikely.
Last Updated: 16 Oct 2026 12:04 PM7.9
7.02
9
6.29
7.58
Substitutes for AC Milan O. Hutchinson
' Out: S. Chukwueze
53
A. Jashari
' Out: C. Pulisic
75
P. Estupinan
' Out: Y. Musah
75
R. Loftus-Cheek
' Out: L. Modrić
75
F. Tomori
84' Out: M. Gila
84
Substitutes for Atalanta R. Obric
' Out: S. Kolasinac
20
G. Gaetano
' Out: M. Pasalic
59
N. Zalewski
' Out: J. Rowe
59
G. Scamacca
' Out: L. Samardzic
75
D. Zappacosta
' Out: L. Bernasconi
75
REFEREE
D. Chiffi
STADIUM
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
LOCATION
Milano
- AC Milan host Atalanta in Serie A 2026-2027 at an unnamed stadium.
- Kickoff is scheduled for 18 October 2026 at 16:00 GMT.
- Prediction advice favors a Double Chance: AC Milan or draw.
- Win probability: AC Milan 45%, draw 45%, Atalanta 10%.
- AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches against Atalanta (W3 D2).
- The last meeting ended 3-2 in favor of Atalanta (away win).
- AC Milan's recent form: D-L-D-D-L, with just one win in their last five.
- Atalanta's recent form: L-L-W-L-L, struggling with four defeats in five.
- AC Milan average 1.50 goals per game, Atalanta slightly higher at 1.63.
- Both teams average over 14 shots per game, suggesting an open contest.
- Possession stats are nearly identical: Milan 53.55%, Atalanta 52.91%.
- H2H comparison heavily favors Atalanta (85% vs 15%), but Milan's overall form edges it (60% vs 40%).
5/
3/
5
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
AC Milan
3
–
2
18 Oct, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Atalanta
AC Milan
2
–
3
10 May, 2026
Serie A 2025-2026
Serie A 2025-2026
Atalanta
Atalanta
1
–
1
28 Oct, 2025
Serie A 2025-2026
Serie A 2025-2026
AC Milan
AC Milan
0
–
1
20 Apr, 2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Atalanta
Atalanta
2
–
1
06 Dec, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
AC Milan
AC Milan
1
–
1
25 Feb, 2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Atalanta
Atalanta
3
–
2
09 Dec, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
AC Milan
AC Milan
2
–
0
26 Feb, 2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Atalanta
Atalanta
1
–
1
21 Aug, 2022
Serie A 2022-2023
Serie A 2022-2023
AC Milan
AC Milan
2
–
0
15 May, 2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Atalanta
Atalanta
2
–
3
03 Oct, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
AC Milan
Atalanta
0
–
2
23 May, 2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
AC Milan
AC Milan
0
–
3
23 Jan, 2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Atalanta
Total
Per Match
48
Corners
66
3.7
Corners
5.1
125
Fouls
168
9.6
Fouls
12.9
16
Offsides
12
1.2
Offsides
0.9
165
Shots
167
12.7
Shots
12.8
57
Shots on Goal
50
4.4
Shots on Goal
3.8
30
Yellow Cards
26
2.3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
1
0.1
Red Cards
0.1
20
Goals
19
1.5
Goals
1.5
19
Goals Conceded
20
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.5
3
Clean Sheets
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.2
Last matches for ACM
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
3
Atalanta
2
W
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
4
Red Bull Salzburg
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
AC Milan
1
Sassuolo
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
3
Lecce
0
W
UEFA Europa League 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
0
Benfica
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
2
Lazio
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
AC Milan
1
Juventus
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
AC Milan
2
Venezia
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
AC Milan
2
Torino
1
W
Serie A 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
AC Milan
1
Cagliari
2
L
Last matches for ATA
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Atalanta
2
AC Milan
3
L
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Atalanta
3
Pafos
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 OCT, 2026
Atalanta
3
Venezia
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Atalanta
0
Juventus
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Atalanta
1
Cagliari
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Atalanta
1
AS Roma
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
31 AUG, 2026
Atalanta
1
Bologna
0
W
UEFA Europa Conference League 2026-2027
27 AUG, 2026
Atalanta
1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Atalanta
2
Sassuolo
1
W
Serie A 2025-2026
22 MAY, 2026
Atalanta
1
Fiorentina
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
1.77
1xBet
4.12
1xBet
4.97
Pinnacle
99.12 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.77
4.12
4.82
98.51%
Marathonbet
1.74
4.05
4.75
96.88%
Pinnacle
1.72
3.99
4.97
96.78%
William Hill
1.70
3.60
4.50
91.89%
Bet365
1.70
4.10
4.50
94.84%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.28
Pinnacle
2.57
Pinnacle
4.84
Pinnacle
96.68 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.28
2.57
4.84
96.68%
William Hill
2.25
2.38
4.00
89.72%
Marathonbet
2.25
2.32
4.75
92.08%
1xBet
Bonus
2.25
2.32
4.75
92.08%
Bet365
2.20
2.40
4.75
92.44%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.05
William Hill
2.82
Marathonbet
4.33
Marathonbet
93.17 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.05
2.60
4.20
90.05%
Bet365
2.00
2.62
4.00
88.36%
Marathonbet
1.99
2.82
4.33
91.91%
1xBet
Bonus
1.99
2.82
4.33
91.91%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.68
1xBet
2.40
Pinnacle
98.82 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.68
2.38
4.25%
Marathonbet
1.63
2.31
4.63%
Pinnacle
1.63
2.40
10.76%
Bet365
1.62
2.30
11.97%
HIGHEST ODDS
6.00
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
95.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
6.00
1.12
23.61%
William Hill
5.50
1.12
23.50%
Marathonbet
4.90
1.14
18.87%
1xBet
Bonus
4.90
1.14
9.42%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
15.97%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.00
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
96.97 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
4.00
1.22
18.92%
William Hill
3.75
1.25
23.45%
Marathonbet
3.50
1.28
18.91%
1xBet
Bonus
3.50
1.28
8.64%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.30
Bet365
3.78
Pinnacle
96.73 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.30
3.45
6.30%
Pinnacle
1.30
3.78
9.73%
Marathonbet
1.28
3.36
5.13%
1xBet
Bonus
1.28
3.36
5.17%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.42
Pinnacle
3.04
Pinnacle
96.79 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.42
3.04
19.33%
Bet365
1.40
2.85
9.44%
Marathonbet
1.37
2.84
13.14%
1xBet
Bonus
1.37
2.84
13.14%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.36
Marathonbet
2.89
Marathonbet
92.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.36
2.89
10.19%
1xBet
Bonus
1.36
2.89
9.16%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.62
Bet365
2.30
William Hill
95.05 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.62
2.20
93.30%
William Hill
1.60
2.30
94.36%
Marathonbet
1.60
2.19
92.45%
1xBet
Bonus
1.60
2.22
92.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.22
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
48.50 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.22
1.27
2.17
48.36%
1xBet
Bonus
1.22
1.28
2.17
48.50%
William Hill
1.20
1.25
2.00
46.88%
Bet365
1.18
1.22
2.05
46.41%

