Fiorentina vs Como
Marin Pongračić
42'
M. Liberali
32'
Nico Paz
36'
A. Douvikas
56'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina
Como
|
Probability %
1
x
2
30%
27%
43%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina
Como
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
41%
59%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina
Como
|
HТ/FT Probability %
25%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina
Como
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
62%
38%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina
Como
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Home -0.25
|
Avg. Goal
3.05
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
Winner : Como
Fiorentina have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of wins but also a draw and a loss, so they're not in great rhythm right now. Como, on the other hand, are really struggling - they've lost most of their recent games and only managed a goalless draw, so they come into this one short on confidence.
When these two have met recently, Como have actually come out on top every time, often in games with a few goals. Even though Como's form is poor, the match looks fairly close and could go either way, but based on the recent meetings and Fiorentina's inconsistent play, it feels like a tight game that might end in a draw or a narrow win for Como.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM7.19
6.07
6.37
6.21
8.77
7.6
7.75
Substitutes for Fiorentina W. Gnonto
' Out: P. Goncalves
63
Valde
' Out: Viery
64
M. Brescianini
69' Out: F. Mastantuono
69
Dodo
' Out: A. Jimenez
69
Beto
79' Out: C. Ndour
79
Substitutes for Como Jacobo Ramón
' Out: T. Chalobah
14
Kaiki
45' Out: A. Valle
45
M. Perrone
61' Out: Nico Paz
61
W. Kambwala
83' Out: M. Liberali
83
S. Ricci
' Out: L. Da Cunha
83
REFEREE
M. Di Bello
STADIUM
Stadio Artemio Franchi
LOCATION
Firenze
- Como have won each of the last 4 head-to-head meetings, all by a multi-goal margin.
- All four H2H results were away wins, with Como scoring 2 goals in every meeting.
- Fiorentina have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but lost their most recent outing 2-1.
- Como are winless in 5, losing 4 including a 3-2 defeat last time out.
- Fiorentina average 1.23 goals per game, slightly more than Como's 1.17.
- Como dominate possession with 58.29% average, compared to Fiorentina's 53.20%.
- Como average 14.63 shots per game, edging out Fiorentina's 13.00.
- The prediction model favours Como, with 45% for an away win and just 10% for a Fiorentina victory.
- Como lead the form comparison 71% to 29% despite their recent poor run.
- The Poisson distribution model gives Como an 83% edge over Fiorentina's 17%.
- Como also lead the overall comparison 65.2% to 34.8%.
- The highest odds for the predicted Como win are 2.12 with 1xBet in the Match Winner market.
Total
Per Match
21
Corners
19
4.2
Corners
3.8
69
Fouls
80
13.8
Fouls
16
12
Offsides
8
2.4
Offsides
1.6
47
Shots
69
9.4
Shots
13.8
18
Shots on Goal
26
3.6
Shots on Goal
5.2
12
Yellow Cards
13
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.6
0
Red Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0.4
6
Goals
8
1.2
Goals
1.6
8
Goals Conceded
6
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.2
1
Clean Sheets
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.2
Last matches for FIO
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Fiorentina
1
Como
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Fiorentina
1
Genoa
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Fiorentina
1
Napoli
1
D
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Fiorentina
3
Pisa
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 SEP, 2026
Fiorentina
4
Venezia
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Fiorentina
1
Torino
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Fiorentina
0
Frosinone
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Fiorentina
0
AS Roma
4
L
Serie A 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Fiorentina
2
Juventus
0
W
Serie A 2025-2026
04 MAY, 2026
Fiorentina
0
AS Roma
4
L
Last matches for COM
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Como
3
Fiorentina
1
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
14 OCT, 2026
Como
2
Feyenoord
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Como
0
AS Roma
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Como
0
Frosinone
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Como
2
Parma
1
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
10 SEP, 2026
Como
4
RB Leipzig
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
04 SEP, 2026
Como
4
Genoa
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Como
2
Napoli
1
W
Serie A 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Como
1
Parma
0
W
Serie A 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Como
0
Napoli
0
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
3.29
Pinnacle
3.60
William Hill
2.33
1xBet
98.92 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.29
3.48
2.29
97.28%
Marathonbet
3.25
3.50
2.21
95.61%
Bet365
3.10
3.50
2.20
94.09%
1xBet
Bonus
3.04
3.54
2.33
96.10%
William Hill
2.80
3.60
2.25
92.65%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.75
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.82
Pinnacle
97.92 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.75
2.38
2.60
93.33%
Marathonbet
3.75
2.19
2.75
92.00%
Pinnacle
3.59
2.50
2.82
96.79%
1xBet
Bonus
3.41
2.38
2.76
92.96%
William Hill
3.30
2.40
2.60
90.55%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.28
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.59
1xBet
94.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
3.28
2.70
2.43
92.02%
Bet365
3.25
2.62
2.38
90.13%
1xBet
Bonus
3.11
2.72
2.59
93.00%
William Hill
3.10
2.50
2.50
89.08%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.65
Pinnacle
2.35
Pinnacle
96.94 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.65
2.35
10.76%
Marathonbet
1.64
2.27
5.40%
Bet365
1.62
2.30
11.96%
1xBet
Bonus
1.62
2.30
4.51%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.63
1xBet
1.15
William Hill
95.49 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
5.63
1.14
9.47%
Bet365
5.50
1.14
23.60%
Marathonbet
5.45
1.10
18.61%
William Hill
5.00
1.15
23.49%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.18%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.75
Bet365
1.27
Marathonbet
94.87 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.75
1.25
18.93%
William Hill
3.60
1.25
23.55%
Marathonbet
3.40
1.27
18.67%
1xBet
Bonus
3.30
1.26
8.47%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.50
Bet365
1.68
1xBet
100.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.50
1.50
5.91%
Pinnacle
2.38
1.65
9.72%
Marathonbet
2.34
1.60
6.12%
1xBet
Bonus
2.28
1.68
6.32%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.25
Bet365
1.74
1xBet
98.12 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.25
1.62
10.48%
Pinnacle
2.21
1.73
16.09%
Marathonbet
2.16
1.62
11.48%
1xBet
Bonus
2.10
1.74
10.56%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.17
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
95.32 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.17
1.61
10.18%
1xBet
Bonus
2.16
1.70
10.50%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.53
William Hill
2.54
1xBet
95.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.53
2.45
94.18%
Bet365
1.53
2.38
93.13%
1xBet
Bonus
1.52
2.54
95.09%
Marathonbet
1.51
2.39
92.54%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.73
Bet365
1.32
Marathonbet
1.40
William Hill
48.78 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.73
1.28
1.30
46.98%
Marathonbet
1.69
1.32
1.36
47.97%
William Hill
1.62
1.25
1.40
46.91%
1xBet
Bonus
1.60
1.30
1.38
47.20%
