Sassuolo vs AC Milan

Sassuolo
d w l w d
2 - 0
1.57
xG
0.24
Full Time
AC Milan
w l l w d
Domenico Berardi
5'
A. Lauriente
47'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or AC Milan

Sassuolo have been struggling quite a bit lately, losing three of their last five matches and failing to win any. Their form has been poor, with only two draws to show for their recent efforts. AC Milan, on the other hand, have been in much better shape, winning two of their last five games and only losing once. They have been scoring goals and looking solid, especially in their away matches. When these two teams met earlier this season, the game ended in a lively 2-2 draw, which shows that their matches can produce plenty of goals.

Given that Sassuolo are not in good form and AC Milan are playing well, this match looks quite open but likely to be close. AC Milan have the edge based on their recent results and the way they have been playing, so they are the favorites to win. I think AC Milan will come out on top here, with a win looking like the most likely result.

Last Updated: 01 May 2026 07:21 AM
starting lineups
 
S. Turati
7
 
U. Garcia
 
T. Muharemovic
 
J. Idzes
 
S. Walukiewicz
 
K. Thorstvedt
7.2
 
N. Matic
 
Ismael Koné
9.2
 
A. Lauriente
 
M. Nzola
7.5
 
Domenico Berardi
 
M. Maignan
 
S. Pavlovic
 
M. Gabbia
3.7
 
F. Tomori
 
P. Estupinan
 
Adrien Rabiot
 
A. Jashari
 
Y. Fofana
 
A. Saelemaekers
 
R. Leao
 
C. Nkunku
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Sassuolo
W. Coulibaly
' Out: J. Idzes
40
L. Lipani
46' Out: N. Matic
46
C. Volpato
59' Out: Domenico Berardi
59
A. Pinamonti
' Out: M. Nzola
84
A. Fadera
84' Out: A. Lauriente
84
Substitutes for AC Milan
Z. Athekame
' Out: C. Nkunku
46
R. Loftus-Cheek
' Out: A. Saelemaekers
59
S. Gimenez
' Out: R. Leao
59
C. Pulisic
' Out: Y. Fofana
59
S. Ricci
' Out: A. Jashari
66
statistics
58 Ball Possession 42
2 Goals 0
1.57 Expected Goals 0.24
match facts

REFEREE

F. Maresca

  • AC Milan holds a 62% advantage in head-to-head predictions and a 54.2% overall edge over Sassuolo.
  • Sassuolo has lost three consecutive Serie A matches, each by a 2-1 scoreline.
  • AC Milan is unbeaten in their last two away games, securing wins with clean sheets (1-0 and 3-0).
  • The only recent head-to-head between the sides ended in a 2-2 draw earlier this season.
  • Milan averages 1.24 goals per game compared to Sassuolo's 1.08, though both teams have similar defensive records.
  • Despite being at home, Sassuolo has just a 10% win probability according to predictions, with a 45% chance for a draw.
  • Sassuolo's recent form is poor, with three losses and two draws in their last five matches.
  • Milan's away form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five on the road.
  • Sassuolo averages under 45% possession, while Milan holds just over 50%, suggesting Milan will control the ball.
  • Milan takes an average of 12.97 shots per game, nearly 2.5 more than Sassuolo.
  • Advice tips a double chance on a draw or AC Milan, with favorable odds of 1.23 at 1xBet.
  • Poisson distribution heavily favors Milan (75% vs 25%), indicating they are strong favorites to score more.
Last Updated: 01 May 2026 07:21 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
43 Corners 58
121 Fouls 140
12 Offsides 33
131 Shots 155
50 Shots on Goal 52
27 Yellow Cards 26
0 Red Cards 2
19 Goals 16
16 Goals Conceded 19
2 Clean Sheets 3
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
38
20
10
8
18
70
#11
38
14
7
17
-4
49