Form and context

Tottenham go into Monday night's game bottom of the Premier League standings and without a league win this campaign, having drawn 1-1 at Manchester United in their most recent outing in all competitions. Coventry arrive in form, having won their last two Premier League games, including a 4-1 win over Newcastle in all competitions on 12 October.

Team news

• Tottenham: Dejan Kulusevski returns to the matchday squad after being sidelined since May 2025 and will be on the bench. Savio is out for "some weeks" with a muscular problem and Lucas Bergvall is set for around two weeks out with a knee issue. Pedro Porro is still recovering from a hamstring injury and may return against Chelsea. Rodrigo Bentancur is suspended, while Mykhailo Mudryk, Wilson Odobert and Xavi Simons are unavailable. Richarlison remains unavailable after being left out of the 25-man Premier League squad.
• Coventry: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Tottenham's last five in all competitions: 1-1 at Manchester United, 2-3 v Aston Villa, 0-0 v Everton, 0-0 at Nottingham Forest, 0-2 v Newcastle.
• Coventry's last five in all competitions: 4-1 v Newcastle, 1-0 at Nottingham Forest, 0-5 v Brighton, 0-1 at Manchester City, 0-1 v Hull City.
• Tottenham average 0.8 goals for and 1.3 against across 10 matches in all competitions; Coventry average 0.83 for and 1.83 against across six.
• The model gives Tottenham 35%, the draw 35% and Coventry 30%.

Our view

Tottenham's lack of league wins and their absentees make this a tricky fixture, even at home, while Coventry's recent league form gives them belief. Kulusevski's return is a lift, but he is only on the bench.

Most likely outcome: draw - Tottenham's winless league run and Coventry's momentum point to a tight, even contest.