Looking at recent form, Excelsior has been in decent shape, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches. They've been scoring goals but also conceding, as shown by results like a 3-2 win and a 2-2 draw. Ajax, on the other hand, has been struggling. In their last five away games, they have only one win, with two draws and two losses, including a 2-0 defeat. They've also had a couple of goalless draws, which shows they're finding it hard to score consistently.

Historically, matches between these two teams have been very open and high-scoring. Their last six meetings have seen plenty of goals, including four draws with scores like 2-2, and a remarkable 7-1 win for Ajax a few years ago. Recent encounters have also been tight, with a 2-2 draw in their most recent meeting. Given Ajax's poor recent form and Excelsior's more positive momentum, this match looks close, but Excelsior seems to have the edge and could win this one.