Heerenveen vs Excelsior
D. Vente
11'
O. Braude
54'
L. Oyen
84'
Jacob Trenskow
88'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Heerenveen
Excelsior
|
Probability %
1
x
2
61%
21%
18%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.47
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Heerenveen
Excelsior
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
33%
67%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.47
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Heerenveen
Excelsior
|
HТ/FT Probability %
37%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Heerenveen
Excelsior
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
65%
35%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.47
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Heerenveen
Excelsior
|
Probability %
56%
|
Pred
Away -1.25
|
Avg. Goal
3.47
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : draw or Excelsior
Heerenveen have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of wins but also some losses and draws, so they haven't been able to build much momentum. Excelsior, on the other hand, are in better shape - they've won most of their recent games and only dropped points in a few draws, which suggests they're playing with more confidence right now.
When these two have met recently, the games have often been close and not particularly high-scoring, with a few narrow results and even a goalless draw. This one looks like it could go either way, but based on how the two teams are playing at the moment, Excelsior seem the more likely side to come out on top - though a draw is also quite possible.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Heerenveen M. Farji
' Out: M. Rivera
73
L. Oyen
' Out: N. Courtens
82
R. Meerveld
' Out: L. Smans
82
Roberts Uldriķis
82' Out: D. Vente
82
H. Petrov
' Out: M. Willemsen
86
Substitutes for Excelsior M. Dominguez
' Out: D. Garden
45
I. Silva Timas
66' Out: A. Thorsteinsson
66
V. Sulzbacher
' Out: A. Sliti
66
' Out: S. Janssen
66
N. Naujoks
' Out: E. da Silva Moreira
77
REFEREE
R. Hensgens
STADIUM
Abe Lenstra Stadion
LOCATION
Heerenveen
- Heerenveen host Excelsior at the Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie 2026-2027.
- Prediction model favours a double chance of draw or Excelsior at odds of 2.30 with Betfair.
- Win probabilities are finely balanced: 10% Heerenveen, 45% draw, 45% Excelsior.
- Excelsior are in strong form with three wins and two draws in their last five league matches.
- Heerenveen have been inconsistent, managing two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five.
- Excelsior carry a higher attacking threat, averaging 1.51 goals per game compared to Heerenveen's 1.20.
- Heerenveen hold the defensive edge in comparison metrics with 61% versus Excelsior's 39%.
- Recent head-to-head record is even, with three Heerenveen wins, two Excelsior wins and one draw in the last six meetings.
- Heerenveen won the most recent encounter 2-1 away at Excelsior in March 2026.
- Excelsior have scored in each of their last five matches, including a 5-1 away victory in their most recent outing.
- Heerenveen average 13.16 shots per game, marginally fewer than Excelsior's 13.23.
- Possession stats are similar, with Heerenveen averaging 49.85% and Excelsior 47.62%.
4/
1/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Heerenveen
4
-
0
16 Oct, 2026
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Excelsior
Excelsior
1
-
2
07 Mar, 2026
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
2
-
1
04 Oct, 2025
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
Excelsior
3
-
0
19 Jan, 2024
Eredivisie 2023-2024
Eredivisie 2023-2024
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
0
-
3
23 Sep, 2023
Eredivisie 2023-2024
Eredivisie 2023-2024
Excelsior
Heerenveen
0
-
0
13 May, 2023
Eredivisie 2022-2023
Eredivisie 2022-2023
Excelsior
Excelsior
0
-
1
05 Nov, 2022
Eredivisie 2022-2023
Eredivisie 2022-2023
Heerenveen
Total
Per Match
34
Corners
31
4.9
Corners
4.4
60
Fouls
76
8.6
Fouls
10.9
10
Offsides
6
1.4
Offsides
0.9
79
Shots
81
11.3
Shots
11.6
24
Shots on Goal
24
3.4
Shots on Goal
3.4
12
Yellow Cards
11
1.7
Yellow Cards
1.6
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
9
Goals
8
1.3
Goals
1.1
8
Goals Conceded
9
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.3
3
Clean Sheets
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.4
Last matches for HEE
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16 OCT, 2026
Heerenveen
4
Excelsior
0
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Heerenveen
0
PSV Eindhoven
2
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Heerenveen
4
Sparta Rotterdam
0
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Heerenveen
0
Telstar
0
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Heerenveen
2
AZ Alkmaar
3
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Heerenveen
2
Willem II
2
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Heerenveen
0
PEC Zwolle
2
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Heerenveen
2
Ajax
2
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Heerenveen
1
Twente
0
W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
21 MAY, 2026
Heerenveen
2
Utrecht
3
L
Last matches for EXC
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16 OCT, 2026
Excelsior
0
Heerenveen
4
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Excelsior
1
Groningen
5
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Excelsior
2
Ajax
2
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Excelsior
1
Utrecht
2
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Excelsior
2
NEC Nijmegen
2
D
Eredivisie 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Excelsior
3
Willem II
0
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Excelsior
2
Sparta Rotterdam
1
W
Eredivisie 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Excelsior
1
PSV Eindhoven
2
L
Eredivisie 2026-2027
07 AUG, 2026
Excelsior
4
Cambuur
0
W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
Excelsior
1
FC Volendam
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
1.60
Pinnacle
4.55
Pinnacle
5.50
Bet365
97.41 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.60
4.55
5.17
96.32%
1xBet
Bonus
1.59
4.46
5.31
96.02%
William Hill
1.55
4.20
4.80
91.61%
Bet365
1.55
4.50
5.50
95.31%
Marathonbet
1.54
4.33
5.15
93.07%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.06
Pinnacle
2.81
Pinnacle
5.01
Pinnacle
96.07 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.06
2.81
5.01
96.07%
Bet365
2.00
2.75
4.75
93.10%
Marathonbet
2.00
2.49
4.90
90.44%
1xBet
Bonus
2.00
2.49
4.90
90.44%
William Hill
1.91
2.62
4.60
89.08%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.83
William Hill
3.06
Marathonbet
4.60
William Hill
91.69 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.83
2.90
4.60
90.20%
Bet365
1.83
3.00
4.33
90.03%
Marathonbet
1.79
3.06
4.55
90.48%
1xBet
Bonus
1.79
3.06
4.55
90.48%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.43
Pinnacle
2.94
Pinnacle
96.21 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.43
2.94
9.65%
Bet365
1.40
2.88
10.58%
Marathonbet
1.34
2.78
5.34%
1xBet
Bonus
1.34
2.78
4.19%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.15
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
94.28 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
4.15
1.16
18.30%
1xBet
Bonus
4.15
1.16
8.38%
William Hill
4.00
1.20
23.19%
Bet365
4.00
1.22
18.92%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.09%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.00
Bet365
1.37
Marathonbet
94.05 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.00
1.36
18.90%
William Hill
2.90
1.36
23.23%
Marathonbet
2.78
1.37
18.35%
1xBet
Bonus
2.78
1.37
7.09%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.26
Pinnacle
4.25
Bet365
97.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.26
4.09
10.77%
Bet365
1.21
4.25
5.90%
Marathonbet
1.18
3.85
5.67%
1xBet
Bonus
1.18
3.85
5.40%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.35
Bet365
3.32
Pinnacle
95.97 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.35
3.10
8.58%
Pinnacle
1.35
3.32
19.25%
Marathonbet
1.30
3.14
13.06%
1xBet
Bonus
1.30
3.14
9.14%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.27
Marathonbet
3.20
Marathonbet
90.92 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.27
3.20
8.31%
1xBet
Bonus
1.27
3.20
7.62%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.44
William Hill
2.62
William Hill
92.93 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.44
2.62
92.93%
Bet365
1.44
2.62
92.93%
Marathonbet
1.44
2.55
92.03%
1xBet
Bonus
1.44
2.60
92.67%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.17
Bet365
1.22
William Hill
2.40
1xBet
47.82 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.17
1.20
2.30
47.11%
1xBet
Bonus
1.16
1.21
2.40
47.50%
William Hill
1.15
1.22
2.30
47.08%
Marathonbet
1.14
1.19
2.36
46.70%
