Heerenveen vs Excelsior

Heerenveen
d l d w l
4 - 0
2.32
xG
0.73
Full Time
Excelsior
w d l d l
D. Vente
11'
O. Braude
54'
L. Oyen
84'
Jacob Trenskow
88'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Excelsior Excelsior
Probability %
1 x 2
61%
21%
18%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.47
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Excelsior Excelsior
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
33%
67%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.47
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Excelsior Excelsior
HТ/FT Probability %
37%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Excelsior Excelsior
Probability %
Yes/ No
65%
35%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.47
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Excelsior Excelsior
Probability %
56%
Pred
Away -1.25
Avg. Goal
3.47
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : draw or Excelsior

Heerenveen have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of wins but also some losses and draws, so they haven't been able to build much momentum. Excelsior, on the other hand, are in better shape - they've won most of their recent games and only dropped points in a few draws, which suggests they're playing with more confidence right now.

When these two have met recently, the games have often been close and not particularly high-scoring, with a few narrow results and even a goalless draw. This one looks like it could go either way, but based on how the two teams are playing at the moment, Excelsior seem the more likely side to come out on top - though a draw is also quite possible.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
B. Klaverboer
 
V. Zagaritis
 
M. Willemsen
 
Sam Kersten
8.61
 
O. Braude
 
N. Courtens
 
M. Linday
 
M. Rivera
 
L. Smans
9
 
Jacob Trenskow
7.2
 
D. Vente
 
S. van Gassel
 
S. Janssen
 
J. Plug
 
C. Widell
 
E. da Silva Moreira
 
L. Hartjes
 
R. Meissen
 
I. Yegoian
6.05
 
A. Thorsteinsson
 
D. Garden
 
A. Sliti
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Heerenveen
M. Farji
' Out: M. Rivera
73
L. Oyen
' Out: N. Courtens
82
R. Meerveld
' Out: L. Smans
82
Roberts Uldriķis
82' Out: D. Vente
82
H. Petrov
' Out: M. Willemsen
86
Substitutes for Excelsior
M. Dominguez
' Out: D. Garden
45
I. Silva Timas
66' Out: A. Thorsteinsson
66
V. Sulzbacher
' Out: A. Sliti
66
' Out: S. Janssen
66
N. Naujoks
' Out: E. da Silva Moreira
77
statistics
52 Ball Possession 48
4 Goals 0
2.32 Expected Goals 0.73
match facts

REFEREE

R. Hensgens

STADIUM

Abe Lenstra Stadion

LOCATION

Heerenveen

  • Heerenveen host Excelsior at the Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie 2026-2027.
  • Prediction model favours a double chance of draw or Excelsior at odds of 2.30 with Betfair.
  • Win probabilities are finely balanced: 10% Heerenveen, 45% draw, 45% Excelsior.
  • Excelsior are in strong form with three wins and two draws in their last five league matches.
  • Heerenveen have been inconsistent, managing two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five.
  • Excelsior carry a higher attacking threat, averaging 1.51 goals per game compared to Heerenveen's 1.20.
  • Heerenveen hold the defensive edge in comparison metrics with 61% versus Excelsior's 39%.
  • Recent head-to-head record is even, with three Heerenveen wins, two Excelsior wins and one draw in the last six meetings.
  • Heerenveen won the most recent encounter 2-1 away at Excelsior in March 2026.
  • Excelsior have scored in each of their last five matches, including a 5-1 away victory in their most recent outing.
  • Heerenveen average 13.16 shots per game, marginally fewer than Excelsior's 13.23.
  • Possession stats are similar, with Heerenveen averaging 49.85% and Excelsior 47.62%.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
34 Corners 31
60 Fouls 76
10 Offsides 6
79 Shots 81
24 Shots on Goal 24
12 Yellow Cards 11
0 Red Cards 0
9 Goals 8
8 Goals Conceded 9
3 Clean Sheets 3
eredivisie standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#8
9
3
3
3
4
12
#10
9
3
2
4
-2
11
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.60
Pinnacle
4.55
Pinnacle
5.50
Bet365
97.41 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.60
4.55
5.17
96.32%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.59
4.46
5.31
96.02%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.55
4.20
4.80
91.61%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.55
4.50
5.50
95.31%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.54
4.33
5.15
93.07%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.06
Pinnacle
2.81
Pinnacle
5.01
Pinnacle
96.07 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.06
2.81
5.01
96.07%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.00
2.75
4.75
93.10%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.00
2.49
4.90
90.44%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.00
2.49
4.90
90.44%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.91
2.62
4.60
89.08%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.83
William Hill
3.06
Marathonbet
4.60
William Hill
91.69 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.83
2.90
4.60
90.20%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.83
3.00
4.33
90.03%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.79
3.06
4.55
90.48%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.79
3.06
4.55
90.48%