Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard
Combo Double chance : Groningen or draw and +1.5 goals
Groningen have had a rough start to the new season. They have lost three of their last four matches, including a heavy defeat in their most recent game. Their only win in that period was away from home, but they look vulnerable, especially at the Euroborg. Fortuna Sittard, on the other hand, are in decent shape. They won their last match on the road and have shown they can score and be hard to beat, picking up a draw in one of their other recent games.
Looking at how these two teams have faced each other before, the games have often been close and competitive. Wins have been shared in recent meetings, and a couple of those matches ended with several goals. Given that Groningen are struggling and Fortuna Sittard are looking more solid, this feels like a very tight contest. A draw seems like the most likely outcome, though Fortuna Sittard have a slight edge given their better form.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Groningen
Substitutes for Fortuna Sittard REFEREE
M. Vos
STADIUM
Euroborg
LOCATION
Groningen
- Groningen have won four of their last five meetings with Fortuna Sittard, including two consecutive away victories.
- Fortuna Sittard have lost four of their last five away matches against Groningen, with the only win coming in March 2025.
- Groningen are coming off a heavy 5-1 defeat, but have scored in three of their last four league matches.
- Fortuna Sittard won their most recent away game 2-0, but have lost two of their last three matches overall.
- Groningen average 1.14 goals per game, while Fortuna Sittard average 1.06 goals per game - a very tight offensive matchup.
- Fortuna Sittard hold a 58% defensive rating compared to Groningen's 42%, suggesting they are stronger at the back.
- Groningen enjoy a 55.5% median possession advantage, but Fortuna Sittard are comfortable with less of the ball (44.5%).
- According to the Poisson distribution, Groningen have a 71% chance of outscoring Fortuna Sittard based on expected goals.
- Both teams have identical 50% ratings in head-to-head and goals-scored comparisons, making this a closely contested fixture.
- The prediction advice suggests a double chance on Groningen or draw with over 1.5 goals, reflecting a low-scoring but competitive game.
- Bookmakers heavily favor Groningen not to lose, with Betano offering odds of just 1.16 for the home/draw double chance.
- Overall, the prediction model gives Groningen a 45% win probability, with an equal 45% chance of a draw and only a 10% chance of a Fortuna Sittard victory.
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
Eredivisie 2024-2025
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2024-2025
Groningen
Eredivisie 2022-2023
Groningen
Eredivisie 2022-2023
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2021-2022
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2021-2022
Groningen
Eredivisie 2020-2021
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2020-2021
Groningen
Last matches for GRO
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Groningen
2
NEC Nijmegen
2
Eredivisie 2026-2027
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2
Ajax
5
Eredivisie 2026-2027
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5
Excelsior
1
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Groningen
3
PEC Zwolle
0
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Groningen
1
GO Ahead Eagles
1
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Groningen
2
Twente
2
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Groningen
2
Fortuna Sittard
3
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Groningen
1
PSV Eindhoven
5
Eredivisie 2026-2027
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4
ADO Den Haag
1
Eredivisie 2026-2027
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2
Utrecht
1
Last matches for FOR
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
1
Excelsior
0
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
2
NEC Nijmegen
2
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
1
Twente
1
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
1
Willem II
0
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
1
Ajax
5
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
3
ADO Den Haag
2
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
3
Groningen
2
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
0
AZ Alkmaar
2
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
3
Cambuur
1
Eredivisie 2026-2027
Fortuna Sittard
2
PSV Eindhoven
2
