Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid
A. Baena
89'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
1
x
2
19%
24%
57%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
2.9
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
45%
55%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.9
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
|
HТ/FT Probability %
34%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.9
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.9
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Espanyol have been up and down lately, mixing a win and a draw with a loss, while Atletico Madrid are having a rough patch with more losses than wins in their recent matches. When these two meet, the games often have plenty of goals, and the last few meetings have been close with a couple of draws.
Overall, Atletico Madrid look the stronger side here, but Espanyol have managed to hold them to draws before, so this one could go either way. It seems most likely to end as a draw or a narrow win for Atletico Madrid.
Last Updated: 15 Oct 2026 07:21 AM
Substitutes for Espanyol U. Nunez
' Out: V. Drkušić
64
A. Calatrava
' Out: Exposito
73
Gabriel Moscardo
' Out: J. Hernandez
73
J. Puado
' Out: B. Zaragoza
82
M. Fernandez Sanchez
' Out: R. Fernandez Jaen
82
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid Julián Álvarez
' Out: A. Lookman
45
A. Grimaldo
' Out: D. Martinez
45
Marcos Llorente
' Out: Pablo Barrios
55
A. Baena
62' Out: Lee Kang-In
62
R. Mendoza
67' Out: C. Romero
67
REFEREE
A. Hernandez
STADIUM
Stage Front Stadium
LOCATION
Cornella de Llobregat
- La Liga 2026-2027 clash: Espanyol host Atletico Madrid at Campo Nuevo Municipal de Cornella.
- Atletico dominate recent form: 71% compared to Espanyol's 29%.
- Espanyol are winless in their last 4 meetings vs Atletico (3 draws, 1 loss).
- Four of the last six H2H encounters ended level.
- Atletico average more goals per game: 1.57 vs Espanyol's 1.15.
- Atletico also edge possession (51.1% vs 46.7%) and shots (12.95 vs 11.58).
- Espanyol's recent form: W-L-W-D in their last four La Liga outings.
- Atletico's away form is mixed: W-L-L-W-L in their last five.
- Prediction model gives just 10% for a home win; draw and away win both at 45%.
- Recommended bet: Double Chance Draw/Away at 1.22 with 1xBet.
- Poisson distribution strongly favors Atletico at 68%.
- Median yellow cards: Espanyol 2, Atletico 3 per match.
1/
4/
4
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Espanyol
0
–
1
17 Oct, 2026
La Liga 2026-2027
La Liga 2026-2027
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
4
–
2
21 Feb, 2026
La Liga 2025-2026
La Liga 2025-2026
Espanyol
Espanyol
2
–
1
17 Aug, 2025
La Liga 2025-2026
La Liga 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
1
–
1
29 Mar, 2025
La Liga 2024-2025
La Liga 2024-2025
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
0
–
0
28 Aug, 2024
La Liga 2024-2025
La Liga 2024-2025
Espanyol
Espanyol
3
–
3
24 May, 2023
La Liga 2022-2023
La Liga 2022-2023
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1
–
1
06 Nov, 2022
La Liga 2022-2023
La Liga 2022-2023
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid
2
–
1
17 Apr, 2022
La Liga 2021-2022
La Liga 2021-2022
Espanyol
Espanyol
1
–
2
12 Sep, 2021
La Liga 2021-2022
La Liga 2021-2022
Atletico Madrid
Total
Per Match
42
Corners
54
4.7
Corners
6
93
Fouls
99
10.3
Fouls
11
10
Offsides
28
1.1
Offsides
3.1
95
Shots
156
10.6
Shots
17.3
34
Shots on Goal
48
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.3
22
Yellow Cards
23
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.6
1
Red Cards
1
0.1
Red Cards
0.1
11
Goals
15
1.2
Goals
1.7
15
Goals Conceded
11
1.7
Goals Conceded
1.2
1
Clean Sheets
2
0.1
Clean Sheets
0.2
Last matches for ESP
La Liga 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Espanyol
0
Atletico Madrid
1
L
La Liga 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Espanyol
1
Malaga
1
D
La Liga 2026-2027
18 SEP, 2026
Espanyol
1
Elche
3
L
La Liga 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Espanyol
1
Rayo Vallecano
2
L
La Liga 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Espanyol
2
Osasuna
0
W
La Liga 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Espanyol
1
Sevilla
1
D
La Liga 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Espanyol
1
Real Sociedad
2
L
La Liga 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Espanyol
1
Real Madrid
2
L
La Liga 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Espanyol
3
Levante
0
W
La Liga 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Espanyol
2
Osasuna
1
W
Last matches for ATL
La Liga 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Espanyol
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Manchester United
0
W
La Liga 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Alaves
1
W
La Liga 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Real Madrid
1
W
La Liga 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Atletico Madrid
4
Osasuna
0
W
La Liga 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Atletico Madrid
3
Real Sociedad
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
09 SEP, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Liverpool
2
L
La Liga 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Atletico Madrid
0
Athletic Club
3
L
La Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Villarreal
2
D
La Liga 2026-2027
19 AUG, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Malaga
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
5.17
Pinnacle
4.12
1xBet
1.75
1xBet
99.25 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
5.17
4.11
1.68
96.90%
1xBet
Bonus
4.98
4.12
1.75
98.53%
Marathonbet
4.90
4.05
1.72
96.86%
Bet365
4.75
4.00
1.73
96.29%
William Hill
4.60
3.75
1.67
92.35%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.28
Pinnacle
2.50
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
96.73 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
5.28
2.50
2.25
96.73%
Bet365
5.00
2.40
2.20
93.35%
Marathonbet
4.90
2.28
2.25
91.99%
1xBet
Bonus
4.90
2.28
2.25
91.99%
William Hill
4.75
2.30
2.15
90.06%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.60
William Hill
2.73
Marathonbet
2.00
William Hill
92.28 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.60
2.50
2.00
89.49%
Marathonbet
4.55
2.73
2.00
92.07%
1xBet
Bonus
4.55
2.73
2.00
92.07%
Bet365
4.33
2.60
2.00
89.64%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.79
1xBet
2.23
Pinnacle
99.30 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.79
2.18
4.46%
Marathonbet
1.74
2.12
4.88%
Pinnacle
1.71
2.23
10.76%
Bet365
1.67
2.20
11.97%
HIGHEST ODDS
6.00
William Hill
1.12
Bet365
94.38 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
6.00
1.11
23.46%
Bet365
6.00
1.12
23.65%
Marathonbet
5.90
1.10
18.87%
1xBet
Bonus
5.90
1.10
8.55%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
15.94%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.00
William Hill
1.24
Marathonbet
94.66 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.00
1.22
23.37%
Bet365
4.00
1.22
18.84%
Marathonbet
3.84
1.24
18.92%
1xBet
Bonus
3.84
1.24
8.63%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.95
Pinnacle
1.29
Pinnacle
97.24 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.95
1.29
10.82%
Bet365
3.55
1.27
6.29%
Marathonbet
3.48
1.27
5.79%
1xBet
Bonus
3.48
1.27
5.47%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.26
Pinnacle
1.37
Pinnacle
96.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.26
1.37
19.32%
Bet365
3.10
1.35
9.44%
Marathonbet
2.93
1.35
13.13%
1xBet
Bonus
2.93
1.35
13.11%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.98
Marathonbet
1.34
Marathonbet
92.44 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.98
1.34
10.19%
1xBet
Bonus
2.98
1.34
9.15%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.73
William Hill
2.10
Bet365
94.86 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.73
2.05
93.82%
Marathonbet
1.69
2.04
92.43%
1xBet
Bonus
1.69
2.07
93.04%
Bet365
1.67
2.10
93.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.20
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
48.49 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.20
1.22
1.17
46.97%
Marathonbet
2.20
1.27
1.21
48.35%
1xBet
Bonus
2.20
1.28
1.21
48.49%
William Hill
2.15
1.25
1.18
47.34%

