Atletico Madrid come into this match in poor form, having lost their last two games and three of their last five, including a heavy 5-1 defeat. They are clearly struggling right now. In contrast, Alaves are in great shape-they have won three of their last five matches and have only lost once in that period, giving them plenty of confidence.

Looking at the history between these two sides, the recent meetings have been very tight and low-scoring. The last three games have all ended with a score of 1-0 or 1-1, meaning goals have been hard to come by. However, looking further back, Atletico has lost most of their head-to-head clashes at home, including the last four in a row. Given Alaves' strong recent form and Atletico's struggles, this match looks open for an away win.