Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid
Double chance : Liverpool or draw
Liverpool head into this Champions League match in reasonable shape, having won their most recent game and drawn their three league fixtures before that. They have not lost in their last four outings, which suggests they are hard to beat at the moment. Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, have had a bumpier road lately, losing their most recent match and also suffering defeats in two of their last three competitive games, so they arrive looking a bit short on confidence.
Looking at past meetings between these two, the games have often been high-scoring affairs. The most recent clash ended with four goals, and the game before that also produced several goals. In fact, two of the last three head-to-head encounters have been very open and full of action. Given Atletico's recent struggles and the fact they are playing away from home, while Liverpool are unbeaten in their last few matches, it is fair to expect Liverpool to have the edge here. This should be a close and entertaining match, but the most likely outcome is a home win for Liverpool.
Last Updated: 07 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Liverpool
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid REFEREE
D. Massa
- Liverpool have the historical edge in this Champions League fixture, winning 60% of their previous head-to-head meetings according to the comparison data.
- Atletico Madrid are the heavy underdogs here, with just a 10% predicted chance of winning, while the draw and Liverpool win are both rated at 45%.
- Liverpool come into this clash unbeaten in their last four matches, though draws have been a recurring theme with three stalemates in that stretch.
- Atletico Madrid's away form is concerning, having lost three of their last five games on the road, including a heavy 5-1 defeat in their most recent away outing.
- Liverpool are dominant in possession, averaging 59.82% this season compared to Atletico's 50.94%, and their median possession rate sits at 56%.
- The hosts are significantly more prolific in attack, firing an average of 17.08 shots per game versus Atletico's 12.88, with a median of 19 shots in matches.
- Liverpool also average a higher goal tally (1.79 per game) than their Spanish opponents (1.53), highlighting their superior attacking output.
- Atletico Madrid average more yellow cards (median of 2) compared to Liverpool's 1, suggesting a more aggressive edge to their play.
- In their last head-to-head encounter in September 2025, Liverpool suffered a 3-2 loss, giving Atletico recent bragging rights in this fixture.
- Liverpool bounced back from that defeat in 2021, securing a notable 3-2 away victory over Atletico at their own ground.
- The bookmakers strongly fancy the hosts, with Marathonbet offering odds of just 1.21 for a "Liverpool or Draw" double chance market.
- The prediction advice points towards a "Double chance: Liverpool or draw," suggesting Atletico's chances of taking all three points are very slim.
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