RB Leipzig vs Lens

RB Leipzig
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Lens
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Predictions

Double chance : draw or Lens

RB Leipzig are coming into this match in very poor form, having lost their last four games and conceding a lot of goals in the process. On the other hand, Lens have had a mixed time recently, with two wins but also two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent results include a couple of heavy defeats, so they are not in perfect shape either.

Since these two teams have never played each other before, it's hard to judge how the match will go based on history. However, given Leipzig's struggles and recent defensive issues, this looks like a fairly open game. Based on the current form of both sides, a draw seems like the most likely outcome, though a narrow win for Lens would not be a surprise either.

Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:09 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?

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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?

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match facts
  • RB Leipzig enter this Champions League clash winless in their last four matches, having lost four straight before a rare away victory.
  • Lens struggled on the road recently, losing their two most recent away games by a combined score of 7-3.
  • Leipzig average 1.82 goals per game, significantly more than Lens’ 1.33, suggesting the hosts carry the greater attacking threat.
  • The away side, Lens, have shown resilience with two consecutive wins prior to their recent losses, including a dominant 4-0 away triumph.
  • Prediction models give Lens and the draw a split 50% chance each, leaving Leipzig with a 0% probability of winning—a stark indicator of the hosts’ poor form.
  • Leipzig average nearly 15 shots per match (14.33), just ahead of Lens’ 13.92, but their defensive vulnerabilities have undermined that output.
  • Possession stats are closely matched, with Leipzig holding 54.99% on average versus Lens’ 52.42%, hinting at a tight midfield battle.
  • Lens’ recent form is mixed—winning two, losing three of their last five—yet they’ve shown they can score heavily, bagging four goals in one outing.
  • Leipzig’s last five games include heavy defeats (4-1, 4-1, 3-1), exposing a fragile backline that Lens could exploit.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings exist between these clubs, making this a historic first encounter in European competition.
  • The goalscoring comparison heavily favors Lens, with a 67% edge over Leipzig in that metric, per pre-match analytics.
  • Given Leipzig’s 0% win probability and Lens’ solid away scoring record, a draw or narrow Lens victory appears the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:09 AM
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#19
2
1
0
1
-1
3
#22
2
1
0
1
-2
3