Tigres UANL vs Leon
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL
Leon
|
Probability %
1
x
2
51%
25%
24%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.81
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL
Leon
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
47%
53%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.81
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL
Leon
|
HТ/FT Probability %
30%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL
Leon
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.81
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL
Leon
|
Probability %
67%
|
Pred
Away -1.25
|
Avg. Goal
2.81
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw
Form and context
Tigres UANL host Leon in Jornada 13 of the Apertura 2026, with both sides chasing a place in the Liguilla. Tigres are still outside the qualification places, while Leon sit in the top-eight picture after a strong run. Tigres drew 1-1 at Guadalajara Chivas in their last outing in all competitions, and Leon lost 3-5 at home to Club America in all competitions.
Team news
- Tigres UANL: Juan Brunetta is suspended after his red card in the 1-1 draw with Chivas. A possible XI named by the source is Nahuel Guzmán; Rafael Guerrero, Joaquim Pereira, Alan Franco, Mauro Lainez; Fernando Gorriarán, César Araujo; Diego Lainez, Emiliano Gómez, Diego Sánchez; Rodrigo Aguirre.
- Leon: No confirmed team news yet beyond a possible XI: Óscar García; Iván Morales, Jhohan Romaña, Juan Jose Guevara, Salvador Reyes; José Rodríguez; Edgar Guerra, Rodrigo Echeverría, Aldair Larra, Daniel Arcíla; Diber Cambindo.
What the numbers say
- Tigres' last five in all competitions: 1-1 at Chivas, 3-2 vs Toluca, 1-0 vs Puebla, 0-2 at FC Juarez, 0-0 at Monterrey.
- Leon's last five in all competitions: 3-5 vs Club America, 1-1 at Puebla, 2-1 vs FC Juarez, 1-1 at Club Queretaro, 2-0 vs Atletico San Luis.
- In the last five head-to-heads, Tigres won two, two were drawn and Leon won one; the most recent meeting was Leon 1-2 Tigres UANL on 31 January 2026, winner Tigres UANL.
- Tigres average 1.1 goals for and 1.1 against across the matches counted; Leon average 1.6 for and 1.3 against.
Our view
Tigres are unbeaten in four of their last five in all competitions but have drawn three of them, and the loss of Brunetta removes a key attacking option. Leon had a four-match unbeaten run ended by America, yet the source notes they have performed better than Tigres over the campaign.
Most likely outcome: draw – Tigres' recent tendency to share points and the source's own 1-1 forecast point that way.
WHO WILL WIN?
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
- Tigres UANL host Leon in Liga MX 2026-2027 action.
- Kickoff is set for 03:00 GMT on 21 October 2026.
- Tigres are winless across their last five matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
- Leon have won just one of their last five, a 5-3 thriller most recently.
- Form guide is dead even: both sides rate 50% apiece in the model.
- Tigres average 1.48 goals per game compared to Leon's 1.29.
- Both teams average over 13 shots per match, suggesting an open contest.
- Home side edge possession stats at 55% against Leon's 53.8%.
- Tigres own the head-to-head record 62% to 38% across the last 13 meetings.
- The last three H2H clashes in Leon have all been won by the away side.
- Prediction model favors a home win or draw at 45% each; away just 10%.
- Best available price on Double Chance Home/Draw is 1.22 with William Hill.
Liga MX 2025-2026
Tigres UANL
Liga MX 2025-2026
Leon
Liga MX 2024-2025
Tigres UANL
Liga MX 2024-2025
Leon
Liga MX 2023-2024
Tigres UANL
Liga MX 2023-2024
Leon
Liga MX 2022-2023
Tigres UANL
Liga MX 2022-2023
Leon
Liga MX 2021-2022
Tigres UANL
Liga MX 2021-2022
Tigres UANL
Liga MX 2021-2022
Leon
Liga MX 2021-2022
Leon
Liga MX 2020-2021
Leon
Liga MX 2020-2021
Tigres UANL
Last matches for TIG
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
1
Guadalajara Chivas
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
3
Toluca
2
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
1
Puebla
0
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
0
FC Juarez
2
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
0
Monterrey
0
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
1
Necaxa
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
0
Santos Laguna
0
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
2
Atlante FC
0
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
1
Atlas
2
Liga MX 2026-2027
Tigres UANL
2
Atletico San Luis
2
Last matches for LEO
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
3
Club America
5
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
1
Puebla
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
2
FC Juarez
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
1
Club Queretaro
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
2
Atletico San Luis
0
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
1
U.N.A.M. – Pumas
3
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
1
Atlante FC
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
2
Monterrey
0
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
2
Necaxa
1
Liga MX 2026-2027
Leon
1
Pachuca
0

