Monterrey vs Pachuca

Liga MX 2026-2027 | Apertura - 12

Monterrey

l d w l d

2 - 1

1.79

0.91

Full Time

Pachuca

w w d l d

D. Rossi

13'

J. Corona

16'

S. Rondón

75'

11.61 X4.10 24.68

Predictions

	Probability % 1 x 2	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Monterrey Pachuca	Probability % 1 x 2 58% 23% 19%	Pred 1	Avg. Goal 3.12	Score Pred. 3-0

	Probability % Under / Over 2.5	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Monterrey Pachuca	Probability % Under / Over 2.5 40% 60%	Pred Over	Avg. Goal 3.12	Score Pred. 3-0

	HТ/FT Probability %	HT Pred.	FT Pred.	Score Pred.
Monterrey Pachuca	HТ/FT Probability % 34%	HT Pred. 1	FT Pred. 1	Score Pred. 3-0

	Probability % Yes/ No	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Monterrey Pachuca	Probability % Yes/ No 58% 42%	Pred Yes	Avg. Goal 3.12	Score Pred. 3-0

	Probability %	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Monterrey Pachuca	Probability % 59%	Pred Home -0.5	Avg. Goal 3.12	Score Pred. 3-0

Double chance : draw or CF Pachuca

Form and context

Monterrey come into this one after a 1-1 draw at Club America on 11 October, and their recent run in all competitions includes a 4-2 defeat at Atlante FC and a 1-0 home win over Cruz Azul. Pachuca's last outing was a 3-3 draw with Necaxa on 11 October, following a 1-0 loss at Santos Laguna. The match is set for Estadio BBVA Bancomer in Guadalupe.

Team news

Monterrey: No confirmed team news yet.
Pachuca: Rondón leads Pachuca into the matchup against Monterrey.

What the numbers say

Monterrey average 1.7 goals per game in all competitions, with 1.5 against; Pachuca average 1.5 for and 1.4 against.
Pachuca have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, including a 3-1 win in April 2026 and a 3-0 win in July 2025.
Monterrey have won three of the last eight meetings between the sides, most recently a 2-0 win in November 2023.
The prediction model gives the draw and away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.

Our view

Pachuca's recent edge in this fixture is clear, and their head-to-head record weighs heavily in the model. Monterrey's form in all competitions has been mixed, with just one win in their last five listed matches.

Most likely outcome: draw – the model rates a draw and an away win equally, but Pachuca's head-to-head dominance makes a share of the points the safer reading.

Sources: foxsports.com

Last Updated: 18 Oct 2026 11:59 AM

MON

starting lineups

PAC

E. Andrada

6.06

G. Arteaga

C. Salcedo

V. Guzmán

R. Chávez

Orbelín Pineda

C. Garza

6.87

L. Ocampos

8.2

J. Corona

7.53

D. Rossi

H. Cuypers

6.64

C. Moreno

5.63

S. Barreto

Eduardo Bauermann

J. Berlanga

O. Idrissi

A. Bautista

C. Rivera

N. Vallejo

5.19

R. Pizarro

7.97

S. Rondón

MON

substitutes

PAC

Substitutes for Monterrey

L. Orellano

71' Out: L. Ocampos

Óliver Torres

72' Out: D. Rossi

S. Medina

78' Out: J. Corona

Jorge Rodríguez

' Out: C. Garza

Substitutes for Pachuca

C. Hernandez

' Out:

G. Alvarez

' Out: N. Vallejo

' Out: J. Berlanga

I. Hernández

87' Out: R. Pizarro

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