Necaxa vs Atlas
R. Mmaee
5'
M. Capasso
90'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Necaxa
Atlas
|
Probability %
1
x
2
32%
27%
41%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.95
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Necaxa
Atlas
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
43%
57%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.95
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Necaxa
Atlas
|
HТ/FT Probability %
22%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Necaxa
Atlas
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
59%
41%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.95
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Necaxa
Atlas
|
Probability %
50%
|
Pred
Home -0.25
|
Avg. Goal
2.95
|
Score Pred.
1-2
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Atlas and +1.5 goals
Necaxa and Atlas are pretty evenly matched right now, and both have had some mixed results lately. Necaxa has a couple of wins but also some draws and a loss, while Atlas has been drawing a lot and had one heavy defeat. Their recent meetings have mostly been close, with a few games ending in draws and others decided by a single goal, so this one could go either way.
Neither team is clearly dominating, and the match looks like it could be a tight, low-scoring affair. Atlas might have a slight edge based on their overall form, but a draw seems just as likely. So expect a close game that could easily end level.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
REFEREE
V. Alfonso Cáceres Hernández
STADIUM
Estadio Victoria
LOCATION
Aguascalientes
- Necaxa host Atlas at Estadio Victoria in Liga MX 2026-2027 action.
- Atlas have won 7 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings, with Necaxa winning 5 and 2 draws.
- Necaxa's most recent H2H win was a 0-1 away victory in January 2026.
- Atlas enter with the stronger recent form, winning 75% of their last five compared to Necaxa's 25%.
- Necaxa's last five: two wins, two draws, one loss - including a 3-3 draw in their most recent outing.
- Atlas' last five: one win, three draws, one loss - unbeaten in their last two.
- Both sides average almost identical goals per game: Necaxa 1.18, Atlas 1.12.
- Atlas edge possession with 48.12% average compared to Necaxa's 45.51%.
- Prediction model gives Necaxa just a 10% win probability, with draw and away win both at 45%.
- Recommended bet: Double Chance Draw/Atlas with over 1.5 goals, best odds 1.53 at Betfair.
- H2H strongly favors Atlas at 71% in prediction comparison, while form also leans away at 75%.
- Poisson distribution favors Atlas 67% to Necaxa's 33%, though total goals are split 50-50.
Total
Per Match
67
Corners
70
191
Fouls
140
18
Offsides
17
184
Shots
174
59
Shots on Goal
62
30
Yellow Cards
18
2
Red Cards
6
12
Goals
21
21
Goals Conceded
12
4
Clean Sheets
6
Last matches for NEC 
Liga MX 2026-2027
21 OCT, 2026
Necaxa
0
Guadalajara Chivas
1
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Necaxa
0
Atlas
2
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Necaxa
3
Pachuca
3
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
28 SEP, 2026
Necaxa
2
Club America
4
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Necaxa
1
Atletico San Luis
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Necaxa
0
Puebla
1
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Necaxa
1
Tigres UANL
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Necaxa
1
Cruz Azul
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Necaxa
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
18 AUG, 2026
Necaxa
1
Leon
2
L
Last matches for ATL
Liga MX 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Atlas
2
Necaxa
0
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Atlas
1
Guadalajara Chivas
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
26 SEP, 2026
Atlas
3
Club Tijuana
2
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Atlas
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Atlas
2
Toluca
5
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Atlas
1
Atlante FC
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Atlas
1
Club Queretaro
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Atlas
2
Cruz Azul
0
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Atlas
2
Tigres UANL
1
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
26 JUL, 2026
Atlas
1
Santos Laguna
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
3.17
Pinnacle
3.69
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
101.37 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.17
3.69
2.24
96.82%
1xBet
Bonus
2.94
3.56
2.18
92.61%
Marathonbet
2.92
3.56
2.16
92.05%
William Hill
2.88
3.25
2.15
89.28%
Bet365
2.75
3.50
2.50
95.30%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.56
Pinnacle
2.44
Pinnacle
2.87
Pinnacle
96.23 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.56
2.44
2.87
96.23%
1xBet
Bonus
3.55
2.22
2.72
90.93%
Marathonbet
3.45
2.22
2.70
90.04%
Bet365
3.40
2.38
2.75
92.77%
William Hill
3.30
2.25
2.60
88.33%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.22
1xBet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Bet365
91.31 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
3.22
2.58
2.49
90.93%
Marathonbet
3.14
2.58
2.47
90.01%
William Hill
3.10
2.45
2.45
87.80%
Bet365
3.00
2.60
2.50
89.45%
