Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
E. Gutierrez
67'
Rafa Llorente
73'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
|
Probability %
1
x
2
73%
16%
11%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
31%
69%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
|
HТ/FT Probability %
46%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
57%
43%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
|
Probability %
50%
|
Pred
Away -1.5
|
Avg. Goal
3.54
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Combo Winner : Toluca and +1.5 goals
Toluca and Atletico San Luis are meeting in Liga MX, and recent form gives us a decent clue about what to expect. Toluca have been up and down lately — a loss, a draw, a couple of wins, and a heavy defeat mixed in — so they're not exactly flying, but they're still picking up points. Atletico San Luis come in a bit hotter with three wins in their last five, though they've also had a couple of rough losses.
When these two get together, the games tend to be close and not always packed with goals — their last meeting ended one apiece, and several others were decided by a single goal either way. Toluca have historically had the better of this matchup, and with Atletico's recent form being decent but not dominant, this one looks fairly even. Based on the overall picture, a narrow Toluca win or a draw seems the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 16 Oct 2026 12:00 AM
REFEREE
M. Antonio Ortíz Nava
STADIUM
Estadio Nemesio Díez
LOCATION
Toluca de Lerdo
- Toluca host Atletico San Luis in Liga MX 2026-2027 action.
- Kickoff is set for October 18, 2026.
- In their last meeting, the sides played out a 1-1 draw in April 2026.
- Toluca have won 6 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings, while Atletico San Luis have won 4.
- Toluca are unbeaten in their last three matches against Atletico San Luis.
- Toluca's recent form reads L-D-W-W-L, while Atletico San Luis have W-W-L-L-W.
- Toluca average 1.70 goals per game; Atletico San Luis average 1.26.
- Toluca average 13.93 shots per game compared to Atletico San Luis's 11.76.
- Toluca hold a higher average possession share: 54.24% to Atletico San Luis's 48.19%.
- Prediction percentages lean heavily toward Toluca or a draw at 45% each, with the away win at just 10%.
- Head-to-head prediction comparison strongly favors Toluca at 93% versus Atletico San Luis's 7%.
- Prediction advice suggests a combo winner of Toluca and over 1.5 goals, with the best home win odd at 1.37.
8/
3/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Toluca
1
–
1
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
1
–
1
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
1
–
3
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
0
–
1
Toluca
Toluca
2
–
1
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
1
–
5
Toluca
Toluca
3
–
1
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
2
–
0
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
1
–
0
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
0
–
1
Toluca
Toluca
1
–
2
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
0
–
0
Toluca
Toluca
3
–
2
Atletico San Luis
Total
Per Match
71
Corners
70
142
Fouls
144
23
Offsides
12
182
Shots
175
66
Shots on Goal
47
28
Yellow Cards
28
2
Red Cards
1
23
Goals
11
11
Goals Conceded
23
4
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for TOL 
Liga MX 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Toluca
1
Atletico San Luis
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Toluca
2
Tigres UANL
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
26 SEP, 2026
Toluca
3
Cruz Azul
3
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
21 SEP, 2026
Toluca
2
Santos Laguna
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Toluca
1
Puebla
0
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Toluca
5
Atlas
2
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
31 AUG, 2026
Toluca
4
FC Juarez
0
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Toluca
2
Club Queretaro
1
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Toluca
0
Atlante FC
0
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
03 AUG, 2026
Toluca
3
Necaxa
1
W
Last matches for ATL
Liga MX 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Atletico San Luis
1
Toluca
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Atletico San Luis
1
Santos Laguna
2
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
27 SEP, 2026
Atletico San Luis
3
U.N.A.M. – Pumas
2
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Atletico San Luis
3
Necaxa
1
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Atletico San Luis
0
Leon
2
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Atletico San Luis
0
Guadalajara Chivas
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
31 AUG, 2026
Atletico San Luis
3
Monterrey
1
W
Liga MX 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Atletico San Luis
1
Pachuca
1
D
Liga MX 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Atletico San Luis
0
Club America
3
L
Liga MX 2026-2027
01 AUG, 2026
Atletico San Luis
0
Club Tijuana
0
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
1.33
Bet365
5.94
Pinnacle
8.76
Pinnacle
96.68 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.33
5.50
8.00
94.46%
Pinnacle
1.32
5.94
8.76
96.15%
1xBet
Bonus
1.32
5.30
7.55
92.70%
Marathonbet
1.31
5.30
7.50
92.13%
William Hill
1.29
5.00
7.00
89.44%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.74
Pinnacle
3.01
Pinnacle
7.41
Pinnacle
95.98 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.74
3.01
7.41
95.98%
Bet365
1.73
2.88
7.00
93.62%
1xBet
Bonus
1.73
2.72
6.47
90.89%
Marathonbet
1.71
2.72
6.30
90.00%
William Hill
1.67
2.75
6.00
88.57%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.62
William Hill
3.30
Marathonbet
6.21
1xBet
92.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.62
3.00
5.80
89.04%
Bet365
1.57
3.20
6.00
89.60%
1xBet
Bonus
1.57
3.30
6.21
90.83%
Marathonbet
1.55
3.30
6.10
89.92%
