Bahia vs Cruzeiro

Bahia
l w l d d
1 - 2
1.10
xG
1.52
Full Time
Cruzeiro
l w w w l
Luciano Juba
27'
Kaua Moraes
41'
Kenji
86'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Cruzeiro

Bahia have been in poor form lately, with three matches without a win, including two draws and a loss. They have been conceding goals regularly and look shaky at the back. Cruzeiro, on the other hand, have won their last two matches, scoring several goals and looking much sharper in attack.

The recent meetings between these two teams have seen a lot of goals, with four of the last six matches ending with three or more goals. Given Bahia's struggles and Cruzeiro's strong recent form, this match looks fairly open and likely to have goals, but with the away side looking the stronger team overall.

Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
Leo Vieira
6.9
 
Luciano Juba
6.3
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
 
David Duarte
 
Nicolas Acevedo
 
Erick
 
M. Sanabria
 
Everton Ribeiro
 
Erick Pulga
 
Willian Jose
8
 
Kaua Moraes
 
Jonathan
 
Fagner
 
Matheus Henrique
7.2
 
L. Romero
 
Gerson
 
N. Villarreal
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Bahia
Everaldo
' Out: Willian Jose
34
Ademir
' Out: M. Sanabria
46
Rodrigo
' Out: Everton Ribeiro
61
Michel Araujo
' Out:
72
' Out: Erick Pulga
72
Substitutes for Cruzeiro
Kenji
' Out:
46
' Out: N. Villarreal
62
Wanderson
' Out:
72
L. Villalba
72' Out: Kaua Moraes
72
Lucas Silva
' Out: Gerson
78
statistics
45 Ball Possession 55
1 Goals 2
1.10 Expected Goals 1.52
match facts

REFEREE

R. José Pereira de Lima

  • This Serie A 2026-2027 fixture sees Bahia host Cruzeiro in a match that is statistically a toss-up, with both teams given a 45% chance to win or draw.
  • Bahia are winless in their last four matches across all competitions, drawing their last two 2-2.
  • Cruzeiro are in fine form, winning their last two away fixtures, including a 3-1 victory on the road.
  • In head-to-head history, Cruzeiro have dominated, winning four of the last six meetings, while Bahia have failed to win any (D2 L4).
  • The most recent H2H clash ended 1-1 in October 2024, which is the only draw in the last six encounters.
  • Bahia average 1.25 goals per game this season, but their recent defensive struggles have seen them concede two goals in each of their last two home games.
  • Cruzeiro hold a slight edge in possession (54.24%) compared to Bahia (50.21%), suggesting they may control the midfield.
  • Despite Bahia’s higher average shots per game (13.52 vs. 14.09 for Cruzeiro), the visitors are more clinical in front of goal.
  • The prediction model heavily favors Cruzeiro for goals (63%) and overall performance (54%), with Bahia only leading in the Poisson distribution factor (77%).
  • Bet365 offers the best odds for a Draw or Cruzeiro double chance at 1.80, reflecting the perceived safety of that bet.
  • Discipline could be a factor: Cruzeiro average 2 yellow cards per match, slightly more than Bahia’s 1.5.
  • The match is scheduled for May 10, 2026, with no official stadium named, adding a layer of unpredictability to the venue.
Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
28 Corners 32
90 Fouls 82
18 Offsides 20
79 Shots 93
25 Shots on Goal 29
14 Yellow Cards 16
0 Red Cards 3
10 Goals 10
10 Goals Conceded 10
1 Clean Sheets 2
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
30
13
10
7
8
49
#7
30
14
6
10
2
48