Fluminense vs Vitoria

Fluminense
w w l l d
2 - 2
1.05
xG
1.44
Full Time
Vitoria
d w d l w
John Kennedy
36'
K. Serna
90'
Renato Kayzer
63'
Renê
67'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Vitoria

Fluminense and Vitoria are both having a tough time lately. Fluminense has lost their last two matches, and while they did win the two before that, they are not in great shape. Vitoria is struggling even more, as they have not won any of their last five games, losing three and drawing two. Their most recent match was a heavy 4-1 defeat, which shows they are really struggling.

When these two teams met in 2024, they each won one game, and both matches had a couple of goals, so it is usually a close battle. Because both teams are not playing well, this match is likely to be very tight and low-scoring. Given Vitoria's poor form and Fluminense's recent results, it is hard to pick a clear winner, so the match could very easily end in a draw.

Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
Fábio
6
 
Renê
 
Julián Millán
 
Ignácio
6.2
 
Samuel Xavier
5.7
 
Alisson
 
Nonato
 
Y. Soteldo
 
L. Acosta
 
J. Savarino
8.2
 
John Kennedy
 
Lucas Arcanjo
6.2
 
Ramon
 
Luan Candido
 
Caíque
 
Edenilson
 
Nathan Mendes
 
Emmanuel Martinez
 
Baralhas
7.5
 
Renê
7
 
Renato Kayzer
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Fluminense
R. Castillo
' Out: Nonato
73
K. Serna
' Out: Y. Soteldo
73
Hércules
74' Out: Alisson
74
Guga
83' Out: Samuel Xavier
83
Riquelme Felipe
' Out: J. Savarino
83
Substitutes for Vitoria
D. Tarzia
75' Out: Renato Kayzer
75
Ze Breno
' Out: Caíque
82
R. López
82' Out: Renê
82
Neris
' Out: Nathan Mendes
88
Ronald Lopes
' Out: Baralhas
88
statistics
58 Ball Possession 42
2 Goals 2
1.05 Expected Goals 1.44
match facts

REFEREE

B. da Silva Machado

  • Fluminense and Vitoria are evenly matched with a 45% chance for a draw or Vitoria win according to predictions.
  • Vitoria has a slight edge in recent form (53% vs 47%) over Fluminense heading into this Serie A clash.
  • In their last two head-to-head meetings, each team has won one, with Fluminense losing 2-1 in 2024 and winning 1-0 away.
  • Fluminense averages 1.28 goals per game this season, slightly higher than Vitoria's 1.07 goals per match.
  • Vitoria's defense is rated significantly stronger (62%) compared to Fluminense's (38%) based on pre-match stats.
  • Fluminense dominates possession with an average of 55.53%, while Vitoria holds 49.26%.
  • Vitoria has lost their last two away matches, including a heavy 4-1 defeat, suggesting poor road form.
  • Both teams have drawn twice in their last five games, indicating potential for a tight contest.
  • Prediction models give Vitoria a 53% advantage in attack over Fluminense's 47%.
  • Fluminense has won two of their last five matches, but suffered consecutive losses just before this fixture.
  • The Poisson distribution heavily favors Fluminense (83%) to score more goals, but overall predictions are balanced.
  • Bet365 offers odds of 2.62 for a double chance bet on Vitoria or a draw, reflecting the close nature of the match.
Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
17 Corners 12
36 Fouls 34
5 Offsides 2
35 Shots 31
14 Shots on Goal 12
9 Yellow Cards 7
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
32
14
9
9
9
51
#14
32
10
8
14
-11
38