Fluminense vs Vitoria
Double chance : draw or Vitoria
Fluminense and Vitoria are both having a tough time lately. Fluminense has lost their last two matches, and while they did win the two before that, they are not in great shape. Vitoria is struggling even more, as they have not won any of their last five games, losing three and drawing two. Their most recent match was a heavy 4-1 defeat, which shows they are really struggling.
When these two teams met in 2024, they each won one game, and both matches had a couple of goals, so it is usually a close battle. Because both teams are not playing well, this match is likely to be very tight and low-scoring. Given Vitoria's poor form and Fluminense's recent results, it is hard to pick a clear winner, so the match could very easily end in a draw.
Last Updated: 07 May 2026 07:20 PM
Substitutes for Fluminense
Substitutes for Vitoria REFEREE
B. da Silva Machado
- Fluminense and Vitoria are evenly matched with a 45% chance for a draw or Vitoria win according to predictions.
- Vitoria has a slight edge in recent form (53% vs 47%) over Fluminense heading into this Serie A clash.
- In their last two head-to-head meetings, each team has won one, with Fluminense losing 2-1 in 2024 and winning 1-0 away.
- Fluminense averages 1.28 goals per game this season, slightly higher than Vitoria's 1.07 goals per match.
- Vitoria's defense is rated significantly stronger (62%) compared to Fluminense's (38%) based on pre-match stats.
- Fluminense dominates possession with an average of 55.53%, while Vitoria holds 49.26%.
- Vitoria has lost their last two away matches, including a heavy 4-1 defeat, suggesting poor road form.
- Both teams have drawn twice in their last five games, indicating potential for a tight contest.
- Prediction models give Vitoria a 53% advantage in attack over Fluminense's 47%.
- Fluminense has won two of their last five matches, but suffered consecutive losses just before this fixture.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors Fluminense (83%) to score more goals, but overall predictions are balanced.
- Bet365 offers odds of 2.62 for a double chance bet on Vitoria or a draw, reflecting the close nature of the match.
Last matches for FLU
Serie A 2026-2027
Fluminense
1
Chapecoense-sc
2
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Fluminense
1
Palmeiras
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Fluminense
1
Santos
2
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Fluminense
1
Palmeiras
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Fluminense
0
Flamengo
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Fluminense
4
Coritiba
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Fluminense
3
Corinthians
1
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Fluminense
1
Platense
2
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
Fluminense
2
Platense
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Fluminense
1
Vasco DA Gama
0
Last matches for VIT
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
1
Atletico Paranaense
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
1
Corinthians
1
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
1
Sao Paulo
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
4
Chapecoense-sc
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
1
Cruzeiro
3
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
2
Mirassol
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
1
Gremio
0
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
1
Atletico-MG
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
0
Bahia
2
Serie A 2026-2027
Vitoria
0
Flamengo
2
