Fluminense vs Santos
R. Castillo
4'
Gabriel Barbosa
49'
Coutinho
54'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fluminense
Santos
|
Probability %
1
x
2
45%
27%
29%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Fluminense
Santos
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
46%
54%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Fluminense
Santos
|
HТ/FT Probability %
24%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Fluminense
Santos
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
57%
43%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Fluminense
Santos
|
Probability %
60%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.82
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : Fluminense or draw
Fluminense are having a rough time right now. They have lost most of their recent games, including some heavy defeats, and they are not in good shape at all. Santos are doing a bit better - they have picked up a couple of wins and a draw recently, though they also lost their last match. So neither team is flying, but Santos come in with slightly better recent results.
When these two have met in the past, the games have often produced goals and been fairly open, with wins going both ways and a few draws mixed in. Given that Fluminense are struggling but playing at home, and Santos are only slightly better off, this one looks very close. It could easily end in a draw, or Fluminense might just edge it - but a Santos win seems unlikely.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Fluminense 
Hulk
57' Out: R. Castillo
57
J. Savarino
' Out: Y. Soteldo
57
Ganso
' Out: L. Acosta
57
57' Out: A. Canobbio
57
K. Serna
' Out: Nonato
76
Substitutes for Santos
Rony
72' Out: Coutinho
72
C. Oliva
' Out: Everton
72
João Alencar
' Out: Lucas Verissimo
83
87' Out: A. Barreal
87
B. Rollheiser
' Out:
87
REFEREE
R. Abatti
STADIUM
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
LOCATION
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
- Fluminense host Santos in Serie A 2026-2027 at an unnamed stadium.
- Head-to-head: Fluminense have won the last two meetings, including a 3-2 away win in April 2026.
- Santos have won three of the last nine H2H clashes, with three draws.
- Fluminense's recent form is poor: four defeats in their last five matches.
- Santos have two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings.
- Fluminense average 1.36 goals per game, slightly more than Santos' 1.21.
- Both teams average similar shot counts: Fluminense 12.83, Santos 12.51 per match.
- Fluminense enjoy higher average possession (55.61%) compared to Santos (50.65%).
- Prediction gives Fluminense a 45% win chance, draw 45%, and Santos just 10%.
- H2H prediction comparison heavily favors Fluminense at 93% versus Santos' 7%.
- Poisson distribution model also leans toward Fluminense with 61%.
- Recommended bet: Double chance Fluminense or draw, with odds of 1.33 at Bet365.
Total
Per Match
50
Corners
47
141
Fouls
165
6
Offsides
15
131
Shots
113
51
Shots on Goal
39
35
Yellow Cards
27
1
Red Cards
1
15
Goals
10
10
Goals Conceded
15
4
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for FLU 
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
1
Santos
2
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
15 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
1
Palmeiras
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
0
Flamengo
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
4
Coritiba
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
3
Corinthians
1
W
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
1
Platense
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
1
Atletico-MG
3
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
2
Platense
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
1
Vasco DA Gama
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Fluminense
3
Atletico Paranaense
3
D
Last matches for SAN
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Santos
2
Fluminense
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Santos
1
Atletico-MG
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
08 OCT, 2026
Santos
2
Flamengo
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
02 OCT, 2026
Santos
2
Sao Paulo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Santos
2
remo
1
W
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
16 SEP, 2026
Santos
2
Atletico-MG
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Santos
2
Cruzeiro
1
W
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
09 SEP, 2026
Santos
2
Atletico-MG
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Santos
1
Mirassol
1
D
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
13 AUG, 2026
Santos
2
Macara
1
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.18
Pinnacle
3.66
1xBet
3.42
Pinnacle
97.62 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.18
3.55
3.42
96.82%
William Hill
2.15
3.25
3.10
91.29%
Bet365
2.15
3.60
3.25
95.18%
1xBet
Bonus
2.15
3.66
3.30
96.03%
Marathonbet
2.08
3.54
3.20
92.96%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.76
Pinnacle
2.36
Pinnacle
3.98
Pinnacle
96.40 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.76
2.36
3.98
96.40%
Bet365
2.75
2.30
3.60
92.92%
Marathonbet
2.63
2.19
3.72
90.44%
1xBet
Bonus
2.63
2.19
3.72
90.44%
William Hill
2.62
2.25
3.50
89.94%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.62
Bet365
2.55
Marathonbet
3.35
Marathonbet
93.25 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.62
2.50
3.10
90.56%
William Hill
2.50
2.45
3.25
89.62%
Marathonbet
2.41
2.55
3.35
90.45%
1xBet
Bonus
2.41
2.55
3.35
90.45%
