Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Double chance : Bahia or draw
Bahia is heading into this match in a rough patch. They haven’t won in their last five games, with three draws and two losses, so they are clearly struggling to find their best form. Vasco da Gama is also not in great shape, but they have been slightly better recently, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five games.
Looking at their past meetings, the games have often been close and full of goals, with narrow margins like 3-2 and 2-1. Since both teams are level on points in recent form, this should be a very tight contest. It could easily go either way, but Bahia is playing at home, which gives them a slight edge, so a draw seems like a very likely outcome.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Bahia
43' Out: Ademir
43
Ze Guilherme
' Out: Luciano Juba
46
Caio Alexandre
' Out:
64
Michel Araujo
' Out: Willian Jose
64
M. Sanabria
' Out: Rodrigo
86
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama M. Hinestroza
' Out: Brenner
46
A. Saldivia
' Out:
46
C. Spinelli
' Out: Adson
72
' Out: David
74
Cauan Barros
' Out: Jair
86
REFEREE
R. José Pereira de Lima
- Bahia are unbeaten in their last three Serie A matches, though all three ended in 1-1 or 0-0 draws.
- Vasco da Gama also arrive on a two-game drawing streak (0-0 and 1-1), making this a meeting of two sides stuck in low-scoring spells.
- Bahia have failed to score in their last two outings, while Vasco have scored just once across their last four games.
- The most recent head-to-head clash (Feb 2026) ended in a narrow 1-0 away win for Bahia, snapping a three-game winless run against Vasco.
- Bahia have won just one of their last six meetings with Vasco, losing four times overall in that stretch.
- Both teams average almost exactly 50% possession this season, with Vasco edging Bahia slightly (50.69% vs 50.43%).
- Bahia hold a clear edge in attacking output, averaging 13.55 shots per game versus Vasco’s 12.16.
- Defensively, Bahia are strong - their 13.5 average shots conceded and 77% defensive rating in the prediction model point to a tight backline.
- The prediction model gives Bahia a 45% win chance and Vasco just 10%, with a draw rated at 45% - making "Bahia or Draw" the safest bet.
- Bahia’s median possession of 54% suggests they will control the tempo, but their recent finishing has been poor.
- Vasco have kept two clean sheets in their last five away matches, winning both of those games 1-0 and 3-0 respectively.
- This fixture historically produces low goal counts - the last five meetings have averaged just 1.6 goals per game.
5/
3/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Bahia
0
-
0
09 Aug, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
0
-
1
12 Feb, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
3
-
2
29 Oct, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Bahia
Bahia
2
-
1
27 Jun, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
1
-
1
03 Sep, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
0
-
1
01 May, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Bahia
Bahia
2
-
1
28 Aug, 2022
Serie B 2022-2023
Serie B 2022-2023
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
1
-
0
15 May, 2022
Serie B 2022-2023
Serie B 2022-2023
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
0
-
0
31 Jan, 2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Bahia
Bahia
3
-
0
07 Oct, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Vasco DA Gama
Total
Per Match
54
Corners
47
5.4
Corners
4.7
150
Fouls
138
15
Fouls
13.8
15
Offsides
19
1.5
Offsides
1.9
131
Shots
115
13.1
Shots
11.5
49
Shots on Goal
32
4.9
Shots on Goal
3.2
25
Yellow Cards
28
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
0
Red Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0.4
12
Goals
7
1.2
Goals
0.7
7
Goals Conceded
12
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.2
5
Clean Sheets
3
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.3
Last matches for BAH
Serie A 2026-2027
25 OCT, 2026
Bahia
1
Santos
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Bahia
0
Flamengo
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Bahia
1
Mirassol
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Bahia
0
Palmeiras
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Bahia
1
Atletico Paranaense
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Bahia
2
remo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Bahia
3
RB Bragantino
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Bahia
3
Internacional
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Bahia
2
Vitoria
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Bahia
0
Vasco DA Gama
0
D
Last matches for VAS
Serie A 2026-2027
24 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
3
Corinthians
2
W
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
21 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Boca Juniors
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
Sao Paulo
1
L
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
14 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
1
Boca Juniors
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
remo
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
07 OCT, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Botafogo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
5
Coritiba
0
W
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
15 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Santa Fe
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
2
Gremio
1
W
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0
Santa Fe
0
D
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PL
W
D
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GD
PTS
