Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama

Bahia
w w d d d
0 - 0
0.53
xG
0.65
Full Time
Vasco DA Gama
l l d d w
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Bahia or draw

Bahia is heading into this match in a rough patch. They haven’t won in their last five games, with three draws and two losses, so they are clearly struggling to find their best form. Vasco da Gama is also not in great shape, but they have been slightly better recently, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five games.

Looking at their past meetings, the games have often been close and full of goals, with narrow margins like 3-2 and 2-1. Since both teams are level on points in recent form, this should be a very tight contest. It could easily go either way, but Bahia is playing at home, which gives them a slight edge, so a draw seems like a very likely outcome.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
Ronaldo Strada
 
Luciano Juba
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
 
David Duarte
 
R. Gómez
 
Rodrigo
 
Nicolas Acevedo
6.5
 
Ademir
 
A. Véliz
 
Willian Jose
 
Leo Jardim
7.7
 
Cuiabano
 
Robert Renan
 
Paulo Henrique
 
Jair
 
Tche Tche
 
David
6.3
 
Thiago Mendes
 
Adson
 
Brenner
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Bahia
43' Out: Ademir
43
Ze Guilherme
' Out: Luciano Juba
46
Caio Alexandre
' Out:
64
Michel Araujo
' Out: Willian Jose
64
M. Sanabria
' Out: Rodrigo
86
Substitutes for Vasco DA Gama
M. Hinestroza
' Out: Brenner
46
A. Saldivia
' Out:
46
C. Spinelli
' Out: Adson
72
' Out: David
74
Cauan Barros
' Out: Jair
86
statistics
51 Ball Possession 49
0.53 Expected Goals 0.65
match facts

REFEREE

R. José Pereira de Lima

  • Bahia are unbeaten in their last three Serie A matches, though all three ended in 1-1 or 0-0 draws.
  • Vasco da Gama also arrive on a two-game drawing streak (0-0 and 1-1), making this a meeting of two sides stuck in low-scoring spells.
  • Bahia have failed to score in their last two outings, while Vasco have scored just once across their last four games.
  • The most recent head-to-head clash (Feb 2026) ended in a narrow 1-0 away win for Bahia, snapping a three-game winless run against Vasco.
  • Bahia have won just one of their last six meetings with Vasco, losing four times overall in that stretch.
  • Both teams average almost exactly 50% possession this season, with Vasco edging Bahia slightly (50.69% vs 50.43%).
  • Bahia hold a clear edge in attacking output, averaging 13.55 shots per game versus Vasco’s 12.16.
  • Defensively, Bahia are strong - their 13.5 average shots conceded and 77% defensive rating in the prediction model point to a tight backline.
  • The prediction model gives Bahia a 45% win chance and Vasco just 10%, with a draw rated at 45% - making "Bahia or Draw" the safest bet.
  • Bahia’s median possession of 54% suggests they will control the tempo, but their recent finishing has been poor.
  • Vasco have kept two clean sheets in their last five away matches, winning both of those games 1-0 and 3-0 respectively.
  • This fixture historically produces low goal counts - the last five meetings have averaged just 1.6 goals per game.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
54 Corners 47
150 Fouls 138
15 Offsides 19
131 Shots 115
49 Shots on Goal 32
25 Yellow Cards 28
0 Red Cards 4
12 Goals 7
7 Goals Conceded 12
5 Clean Sheets 3
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#7
32
13
11
8
5
50
#11
32
10
9
13
-6
39