Flamengo vs Botafogo

Flamengo
d d w w l
3 - 0
1.70
xG
0.79
Full Time
Botafogo
d w d l l
Samuel Lino
13'
Samuel Lino
86'
90'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Flamengo

Flamengo come into this match having had a bit of a mixed time lately, with a couple of losses and two draws in their last few games, though they did manage one very big away win. Botafogo, on the other hand, look to be in slightly better shape, having won two of their last five matches, with a couple of draws and just one loss. Recent meetings between these two sides have often been quite high-scoring and exciting, with both teams regularly finding the back of the net.

While Botafogo have been a bit more consistent recently, Flamengo have a very strong record in this fixture, winning most of the recent encounters between the two clubs. This looks like it could be a fairly close and open game, but given their historical dominance in this rivalry, Flamengo are the more likely side to come away with the win.

Last Updated: 28 Aug 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
A. Rossi
 
Ayrton Lucas
 
Léo Pereira
 
Léo Ortiz
 
Jorginho
 
E. Pulgar
9.9
 
Samuel Lino
 
G. de Arrascaeta
 
Luiz Araújo
 
Pedro
 
Gabriel Batista
5.9
 
Marçal
 
Alex Telles
 
Danilo
 
Huguinho
 
Vitinho
 
Á. Montoro
 
Edenilson
 
Arthur Cabral
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Flamengo
Lucas Paqueta
' Out: Luiz Araújo
57
' Out: G. de Arrascaeta
75
Everton
' Out: Pedro
88
Substitutes for Botafogo
L. Monzón
' Out: Alex Telles
21
Danilo Pereira
' Out: Á. Montoro
46
C. Medina
' Out: Edenilson
66
Lucas Villalba
' Out: Arthur Cabral
77
Júnior Santos
' Out: Vitinho
77
statistics
63 Ball Possession 37
3 Goals 0
1.70 Expected Goals 0.79
match facts

REFEREE

A. Gomes Stefano

  • Flamengo are the heavy favorites, with a 45% win probability compared to Botafogo's 10%.
  • Flamengo have lost only one of their last 15 meetings against Botafogo, winning 11.
  • Botafogo have failed to beat Flamengo away since 2020, losing their last 5 trips.
  • Flamengo average 1.68 goals per match, while Botafogo sit lower at 1.30.
  • Flamengo dominate possession, averaging 58% compared to Botafogo's 49%.
  • The head-to-head form heavily favors Flamengo, with a 93% advantage over their rivals.
  • Botafogo's last win in this fixture came back in August 2024 with a convincing 4-1 scoreline.
  • Flamengo's attacking stats are superior, holding a 71% edge over Botafogo in that category.
  • Botafogo have shown resilience on the road recently, going unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Flamengo's recent form is shaky, with two losses and two draws in their last five games.
  • Both teams show similar defensive stability, with a 50/50 split in defensive comparison.
  • The Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo a 68% chance of outscoring Botafogo.
Last Updated: 28 Aug 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
63 Corners 48
140 Fouls 170
21 Offsides 14
162 Shots 133
54 Shots on Goal 50
30 Yellow Cards 45
1 Red Cards 7
26 Goals 14
14 Goals Conceded 26
8 Clean Sheets 2
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
30
19
7
4
33
64
#11
31
10
9
12
-4
39