Flamengo vs Fluminense
65'
Predictions
Double chance : Flamengo or draw
Flamengo and Fluminense are both having a shaky run right now. Flamengo have lost more than they've won lately and are coming off a draw, while Fluminense just suffered a heavy defeat and have also been losing often. When these two meet, the games are usually tight and low-scoring, with lots of draws and narrow results in recent years.
Given Flamengo's slightly better overall shape and their strong record in this matchup, this looks like a close game that Flamengo are more likely to edge or at least avoid losing. The most likely outcome is a Flamengo win or a draw.
Last Updated: 09 Oct 2026 07:20 PM
Substitutes for Flamengo 
Bruno Henrique
' Out: Pedro
64
J. Freitas
64' Out: Saúl
64
N. de la Cruz
' Out: Samuel Lino
79
G. Plata
' Out: Lucas Paqueta
79
Danilo
90' Out:
90
Substitutes for Fluminense
Ganso
60' Out: L. Acosta
60
K. Serna
' Out: Y. Soteldo
60
Hulk
' Out: R. Castillo
69
J. Savarino
69' Out: A. Canobbio
69
' Out: Matheus Martinelli
78
REFEREE
R. Rodrigo Klein
- Serie A 2026-2027 clash between Flamengo and Fluminense kicks off on 11 October 2026 at 20:30 GMT.
- Prediction favors Flamengo or draw with a double chance, backed by a 1.17 odd from Betano.
- Flamengo hold a 45% win probability, with the draw also at 45%, leaving Fluminense just 10%.
- In the last five matches, Flamengo have one win, two losses and one draw in their recent form run.
- Fluminense have lost three of their last five, including a heavy 4-0 defeat in their most recent outing.
- Flamengo average 1.71 goals per game and 14.62 shots, showing stronger attacking output than Fluminense.
- Fluminense average 1.36 goals and 12.83 shots per game, slightly behind their hosts in offensive metrics.
- Flamengo dominate possession with 58.05% on average, while Fluminense sit at 55.61%.
- Head-to-head history slightly favors Flamengo at 60% compared to Fluminense's 40%.
- Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo a 70% edge over Fluminense's 30%.
- Defensive comparison is heavily one-sided: Flamengo rated 64%, Fluminense only 36%.
- Both teams average three yellow cards each in recent matches, suggesting a competitive derby.
12/
7/
12
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Flamengo
1
–
0
Fluminense
Fluminense
1
–
2
Flamengo
Fluminense
0
–
0
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
–
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
0
–
2
Fluminense
Fluminense
0
–
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
0
–
0
Fluminense
Fluminense
0
–
2
Flamengo
Flamengo
2
–
0
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
–
1
Fluminense
Fluminense
0
–
0
Flamengo
Fluminense
4
–
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
2
–
0
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
–
2
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
–
2
Fluminense
Fluminense
1
–
2
Flamengo
Fluminense
1
–
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
0
–
2
Fluminense
Flamengo
0
–
1
Fluminense
Fluminense
3
–
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
0
–
1
Fluminense
Flamengo
3
–
1
Fluminense
Fluminense
1
–
1
Flamengo
Flamengo
0
–
1
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
–
2
Fluminense
Fluminense
1
–
2
Flamengo
Flamengo
1
–
0
Fluminense
Fluminense
1
–
2
Flamengo
Fluminense
1
–
1
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
–
3
Flamengo
Flamengo
0
–
1
Fluminense
Total
Per Match
69
Corners
68
212
Fouls
236
25
Offsides
19
197
Shots
174
68
Shots on Goal
61
82
Yellow Cards
101
9
Red Cards
11
33
Goals
34
34
Goals Conceded
33
9
Clean Sheets
9
Last matches for FLA 
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Flamengo
3
Bahia
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Flamengo
1
Fluminense
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
08 OCT, 2026
Flamengo
2
Santos
2
D
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Flamengo
2
RB Bragantino
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Flamengo
2
Corinthians
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Flamengo
1
remo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
02 SEP, 2026
Flamengo
2
Mirassol
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Flamengo
3
Botafogo
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Flamengo
1
Cruzeiro
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Flamengo
5
Mirassol
1
W
Last matches for FLU
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
1
Santos
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
0
Flamengo
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Fluminense
4
Coritiba
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
3
Corinthians
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
1
Atletico-MG
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Fluminense
1
Vasco DA Gama
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Fluminense
3
Atletico Paranaense
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Fluminense
2
remo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Fluminense
3
Palmeiras
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Fluminense
1
Botafogo
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
