Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense

Atletico Paranaense
w d w d w
3 - 3
1.11
xG
0.57
Full Time
Fluminense
d d w d w
Leozinho
35'
G. Benavídez
48'
K. Viveros
90'+5'
Hulk
38'
A. Canobbio
65'
Ignácio
78'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

Atletico Paranaense are coming into this match in decent shape. They have won two of their last five games, drawn two, and only lost one. Their recent results show they are a hard team to beat right now. Fluminense, on the other hand, are struggling. They have not won any of their last five matches, losing two and drawing three. They are clearly low on confidence and finding it difficult to get positive results.

When these two teams have met in the past, the games have often been tight, but Fluminense has usually had the upper hand. However, recent meetings have seen a fair number of goals, with a 3-2 and a 2-2 in the last few years. Given that Atletico Paranaense are in good form while Fluminense are winless, this feels like a close match. Because Atletico are playing well and have the advantage of being at home, they are the most likely side to come away with the win.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
Santos
 
Arthur Dias
 
F. Aguirre
 
Dantas
 
S. Mendoza
 
Luiz Gustavo
 
Jádson
7.9
 
G. Benavídez
 
João Cruz
8.7
 
Leozinho
6.9
 
K. Viveros
 
Fábio
 
Renê
 
Julián Millán
7.5
 
Ignácio
 
Guga
 
Matheus Martinelli
7.5
 
Nonato
 
Y. Soteldo
6.3
 
Ganso
7.7
 
A. Canobbio
8.3
 
Hulk
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Atletico Paranaense
Dudu Kogitzki
71' Out: Leozinho
71
K. A. Calderon Vargas
' Out:
72
B. Zapelli
' Out: Luiz Gustavo
82
Jorge Rivaldo
' Out: F. Aguirre
83
Substitutes for Fluminense
K. Serna
' Out: Y. Soteldo
59
L. Acosta
60' Out: Ganso
60
J. Savarino
90' Out: A. Canobbio
90
Jemmes
90' Out: Hulk
90
statistics
47 Ball Possession 53
3 Goals 3
1.11 Expected Goals 0.57
match facts

REFEREE

F. Fernandes de Lima

  • Atletico Paranaense have won just once in their last 11 meetings with Fluminense, losing six of those encounters.
  • Fluminense have dominated recent head-to-head history, winning the last two clashes in March 2026 (3-2) and October 2024 (1-0).
  • Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last four Serie A matches, picking up two wins and two draws since late July.
  • Fluminense are winless in five league games, with three draws and two losses, and have not kept a clean sheet in that stretch.
  • Atletico Paranaense have scored in four consecutive away matches, netting at least twice in three of those games.
  • Fluminense will be the away side here, but they have struggled on the road of late, failing to win their last four away league matches.
  • Both sides have nearly identical scoring averages this season - Atletico Paranaense at 1.30 goals per game versus Fluminense at 1.32.
  • Fluminense hold a significant edge in possession, averaging 55.68% per match, while Atletico Paranaense sit lower at 48.26%.
  • Atletico Paranaense show a defensive advantage in pre-match stats (63% vs 38%), suggesting they are harder to break down.
  • Historical head-to-head stats heavily favour Fluminense (85% versus just 15% for Atletico Paranaense), though their current form is weaker.
  • Despite Fluminense’s historical dominance, the prediction model rates this match as a near coin flip - 35% for each side to win and 35% for a draw.
  • Bookmakers offer a safe double chance bet on Atletico Paranaense or a draw at 1.33 odds with Betano, reflecting the tight expected contest.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
51 Corners 74
180 Fouls 152
12 Offsides 19
127 Shots 179
43 Shots on Goal 69
31 Yellow Cards 26
4 Red Cards 1
15 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 15
1 Clean Sheets 4
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
31
15
8
8
12
53
#4
31
14
9
8
10
51