Atletico-MG come into this match in decent shape. They have not lost any of their last five games, though four of those ended in draws. They have been hard to beat at home but also seem to struggle to put teams away, with several tight, low-scoring results. Gremio, on the other hand, have had a rougher time recently. They have lost two of their last five matches and have only picked up one win, showing they are a bit shaky, especially when playing away from home.

Looking at their past meetings, Gremio have had the upper hand over Atletico-MG, winning most of those encounters. However, those games were often close and produced plenty of goals, with several matches ending with three or more goals. Given Atletico-MG’s solid but draw-heavy form, and Gremio’s recent struggles, this looks like a very tight contest. The most likely outcome is a draw, with Atletico-MG slightly more favoured to edge it if either team manages to find a winner.