Gremio are hosting Sao Paulo, but they have really struggled against this opponent in recent years. The last eight meetings have all ended in defeats for Gremio, including some heavy losses last season. Sao Paulo have clearly had their number, and Gremio will be desperate to finally change that. Gremio have been drawing a lot lately and have only won once in their last five games, so they are not in great form.

Sao Paulo have also had a few draws recently, but they did pick up a win in their last away game, which puts them in slightly better spirits. Given Gremio's terrible record against Sao Paulo and their own recent struggles, it is hard to see them getting a win here. The most likely outcome is a draw, with Sao Paulo having a much better chance of winning than Gremio.