Atletico-MG vs Santos

Atletico-MG
w w d w d
2 - 1
1.48
xG
1.14
Full Time
Santos
w l w w d
Vitor Hugo
90'+1'
T. Borbas
90'+7'
Gabriel Barbosa
88'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Santos

Atletico-MG are having a rough time right now. They have not won any of their last five matches, losing three of them, and they have struggled to score consistently. Santos, on the other hand, are in much better form, winning three of their last five games and looking sharper going forward. When these two teams meet, the games have often been low-scoring and tight, with a few draws and narrow wins in recent meetings.

This looks like a close match that could go either way, but Santos seem to have the edge based on their recent results. Atletico-MG will need to improve a lot to get something from this game. A draw or a narrow Santos win seems most likely.

Last Updated: 09 Oct 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
Gabriel Delfim
8.33
 
Vitor Hugo
 
L. Duarte
 
Natanael
 
Alexsander
6.21
 
Igor Gomes
 
K. Castaño
 
Victor Hugo
8.2
 
T. Borbas
 
Diogenes
 
G. Escobar
6.07
 
Willian Arão
6.48
 
Lucas Verissimo
 
Rodinei
 
C. Oliva
 
Everton
 
B. Rollheiser
 
Gabriel Bontempo
7.54
 
Gabriel Barbosa
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Atletico-MG
A. Minda
' Out: Victor Hugo
45
M. Cisse
69' Out:
69
Maycon
' Out: K. Castaño
69
' Out: Natanael
70
Dudu
' Out: Alexsander
82
Substitutes for Santos
Luan Peres
8' Out: Willian Arão
8
Rony
' Out: B. Rollheiser
45
Joao Schmidt
' Out:
72
Coutinho
' Out: Gabriel Bontempo
72
A. Barreal
' Out: Everton
85
statistics
58 Ball Possession 42
2 Goals 1
1.48 Expected Goals 1.14
match facts

REFEREE

A. Gomes Stefano

  • Santos have dominated this fixture historically, winning six of the last eight meetings between the two clubs.
  • Atletico-MG have lost three of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-0 defeat to Santos in April 2026.
  • Santos arrive in better form with three wins from their last five, compared to Atletico-MG's one draw and two losses in their most recent five.
  • Atletico-MG hold a slight attacking edge with 1.50 average goals per game versus Santos' 1.20.
  • The home side also average more shots per match (14.41) than Santos (12.52).
  • Atletico-MG typically control possession at 56.27% on average, while Santos sit at 50.68%.
  • Both teams share identical median stats for shots (12), possession (50%), and yellow cards (3).
  • The prediction model gives Atletico-MG just a 10% win chance, with draw and Santos each rated at 45%.
  • Head-to-head comparison strongly favours Santos at 71% versus Atletico-MG's 29%.
  • Both teams enter this match on the back of a 2-2 draw in their most recent outing.
  • The recommended bet is a Double Chance on Draw or Santos, priced at 1.82 with Betano.
  • All-time head-to-head stats are split in advantage, but recent results clearly lean towards the visitors with five Santos wins in the last eight (one Atletico win, two draws).
Last Updated: 09 Oct 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
64 Corners 54
171 Fouls 154
17 Offsides 20
161 Shots 136
52 Shots on Goal 43
27 Yellow Cards 33
2 Red Cards 2
17 Goals 14
14 Goals Conceded 17
3 Clean Sheets 4
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
31
14
8
9
7
50
#8
31
12
9
10
2
45