Cruz Azul vs Toluca

Cruz Azul
l w w w l
3 - 3
Full Time
Toluca
w w w w l
N. Ibanez
7'
38'
90'+5'
Helinho
55'
A. Vega
56'
A. Vega
78'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw

Cruz Azul are having a rough time right now - they've lost their last three matches in a row, and two of those were by a single goal. Toluca, on the other hand, have won two of their last three, though they also had a couple of heavy defeats recently, so they're not exactly unstoppable either.

When these two meet, the games tend to be tight and low-scoring - most of their recent meetings ended in draws or were decided by just one goal, and very few turned into high-scoring thrillers. Given Cruz Azul's poor run of form but their strong record in this fixture, this looks like a close, cautious game that could easily end level. A draw seems the most likely outcome, with Cruz Azul slightly more likely to edge it than Toluca if someone does win.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
A. Gudino
 
O. Campos
 
J. Orozco
5.64
 
G. Piovi
 
A. Mozo
 
C. Rodriguez
 
J. Paradela
6.43
 
A. Palavecino
8.2
 
N. Ibanez
 
L. Garcia
 
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
 
Federico Pereira
 
Luan
 
N. Castro
5.66
 
D. Barbosa
8.21
 
A. Vega
 
P. Perez
7.54
 
Helinho
 
Paulinho
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Cruz Azul
76' Out: N. Ibanez
76
L. Romero
76' Out: A. Palavecino
76
R. Gonzalez
88' Out: G. Piovi
88
O. Ebere
' Out: A. Mozo
88
J. Calero
' Out: J. Paradela
90
Substitutes for Toluca
E. Gutierrez
45' Out: D. Barbosa
45
J. Angulo
' Out: P. Perez
73
82' Out: A. Vega
82
Sebastian Aceves
90' Out: Helinho
90
statistics
49 Ball Possession 51
3 Goals 3
match facts

REFEREE

K. García

STADIUM

Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

LOCATION

Oakland, California

  • Cruz Azul host Toluca in Liga MX 2026-2027 action at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
  • Cruz Azul are winless in their last three matches, losing each one.
  • Toluca have won three of their last five, including back-to-back victories.
  • The last meeting between these sides ended 1-1 in February 2026.
  • Four of the last six head-to-head clashes have ended level or with a single-goal margin.
  • Cruz Azul have won four of the last six meetings on home soil against Toluca.
  • Toluca average 1.68 goals per game, slightly more than Cruz Azul's 1.44.
  • Toluca also edge possession, averaging 54.19% compared to Cruz Azul's 52.54%.
  • Despite recent form, Cruz Azul dominate the head-to-head record at 75% in the prediction comparison.
  • Prediction model gives Cruz Azul a 35% win chance, draw 35%, and Toluca 30%.
  • The recommended bet is Double Chance: Cruz Azul or Draw, priced at 1.53 with Betano.
  • Toluca hold a strong 85% advantage in the Poisson distribution metric.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
77 Corners 57
202 Fouls 187
27 Offsides 29
230 Shots 181
79 Shots on Goal 62
37 Yellow Cards 30
2 Red Cards 1
27 Goals 23
23 Goals Conceded 27
3 Clean Sheets 2
liga mx standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
13
7
2
4
7
23
#4
13
6
4
3
10
22