Nacional vs AVS
Filipe Soares
4'
Pedro Lima
22'
G. Neiva
63'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Double chance : Nacional or draw
Nacional are in a tough spell at the moment, having lost four of their last five matches and conceding goals in each of those defeats. AVS, on the other hand, are not in great shape either, but they are at least picking up points. They have drawn four of their last five games, showing they are hard to beat, even if they don't win very often.
When these two teams have met in the past, there have usually been goals. Their most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw, and three of the last four meetings between them have seen both teams score. With Nacional struggling for wins and AVS often drawing, this match looks like it could be a close one, and a draw seems the most likely result.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Nacional Liziero
46' Out: Gabriel Veron
46
L. Joao
' Out: Daniel Junior
71
Pablo Ruan
71' Out: C. Labidi
71
Witi
' Out: Jose Gomes
88
J. Aurelio
' Out: A. Nunez
88
Substitutes for AVS Ponck
' Out: T. Galletto
64
Tomané
72' Out: G. Neiva
72
G. Molina
' Out: T. Akinsola
88
3
2
1
2d Yellow / Red Cards
0
8
Corners
6
8
Fouls
14
0
Offsides
1
68
Ball Possession
32
24
Shots
19
6
Shots on Goal
3
1
Goals
2
8
Shots off Goal
7
10
Blocked Shots
9
15
Shots insidebox
9
9
Shots outsidebox
10
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
429
Total passes
202
356
Passes accurate
143
1.81
Expected Goals
1.54
REFEREE
M. Torres
- Nacional won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while AVS drew 4 of their last 5 games - expect a cautious approach.
- The two sides drew 1-1 and 2-2 in their last 2 meetings, with all 5 head-to-heads seeing both teams score.
- AVS are winless in 5 away games and have scored just 3 goals in that stretch, struggling on the road.
- Nacional average 1.22 goals per game, while AVS average exactly 1.00 - likely a low-scoring affair.
- The median stats show AVS hold 51% possession away, slightly edging Nacional's 49% at home.
- Both teams average nearly the same number of shots per game (Nacional 11.71, AVS 11.06), showing attacking parity.
- Nacional's defense is rated 70% stronger than AVS's per the prediction model, key to keeping a clean sheet.
- Poisson distribution heavily favors Nacional at 75%, reflecting their home advantage in scoring probability.
- Head-to-head analysis gives Nacional an 85% edge, though recent results have been close draws.
- The "Double Chance: Nacional or Draw" market offers extremely low odds of 1.13, indicating heavy favorite status.
- AVS have conceded 3 or more goals in 2 of their last 5 away matches, a defensive vulnerability Nacional can exploit.
- Overall form and team strength combine to give Nacional a 69.8% total advantage, making them clear favorites.
3/
2/
1
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Nacional
1
-
2
02 May, 2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
AVS
AVS
2
-
2
21 Dec, 2025
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
Nacional
3
-
1
19 Jan, 2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
AVS
AVS
1
-
1
10 Aug, 2024
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Nacional
Nacional
2
-
1
06 Apr, 2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
AVS
AVS
0
-
1
19 Nov, 2023
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Segunda Liga 2023-2024
Nacional
Total
Per Match
27
Corners
41
4.5
Corners
6.8
73
Fouls
73
12.2
Fouls
12.2
7
Offsides
5
1.2
Offsides
0.8
93
Shots
91
15.5
Shots
15.2
35
Shots on Goal
20
5.8
Shots on Goal
3.3
12
Yellow Cards
15
2
Yellow Cards
2.5
1
Red Cards
1
0.2
Red Cards
0.2
10
Goals
7
1.7
Goals
1.2
7
Goals Conceded
10
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.7
1
Clean Sheets
0
0.2
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for NAC
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Nacional
2
Rio Ave
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
19 SEP, 2026
Nacional
0
Famalicao
4
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Nacional
1
Alverca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Nacional
0
Sporting CP
2
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Nacional
2
Estrela
3
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Nacional
0
Guimaraes
1
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Nacional
2
Estoril
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
10 AUG, 2026
Nacional
2
Santa Clara
2
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
Nacional
2
Guimaraes
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
11 MAY, 2026
Nacional
0
Santa Clara
2
L
Last matches for AVS
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
AVS
2
Penafiel
1
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
AVS
0
Farense
0
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
07 SEP, 2026
AVS
1
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
L
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
AVS
2
Feirense
0
W
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
AVS
2
Chaves
2
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
17 AUG, 2026
AVS
1
Felgueiras 1932
1
D
Segunda Liga 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
AVS
0
Sporting CP B
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
AVS
0
Moreirense
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
AVS
3
FC Porto
1
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
26 APR, 2026
AVS
1
Sporting CP
1
D
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