Nacional vs AVS

Nacional
l w l w w
1 - 2
1.81
xG
1.54
Full Time
AVS
d l d d d
Filipe Soares
4'
Pedro Lima
22'
G. Neiva
63'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Nacional or draw

Nacional are in a tough spell at the moment, having lost four of their last five matches and conceding goals in each of those defeats. AVS, on the other hand, are not in great shape either, but they are at least picking up points. They have drawn four of their last five games, showing they are hard to beat, even if they don't win very often.

When these two teams have met in the past, there have usually been goals. Their most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw, and three of the last four meetings between them have seen both teams score. With Nacional struggling for wins and AVS often drawing, this match looks like it could be a close one, and a draw seems the most likely result.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
Kaique Pereira
 
Jose Gomes
6.5
 
Ze Vitor
 
Léo Santos
 
A. Nunez
8.2
 
Filipe Soares
6.7
 
C. Labidi
 
Paulinho Boia
 
Daniel Junior
6.2
 
Gabriel Veron
 
J. Ramirez
6.7
 
Adriel
 
D. Rivas
7.2
 
Paulo Vitor
 
C. Devenish
 
Mateus Pivo
7.6
 
Pedro Lima
 
Roni
 
T. Galletto
8.2
 
G. Neiva
 
D. Duarte
 
T. Akinsola
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Nacional
Liziero
46' Out: Gabriel Veron
46
L. Joao
' Out: Daniel Junior
71
Pablo Ruan
71' Out: C. Labidi
71
Witi
' Out: Jose Gomes
88
J. Aurelio
' Out: A. Nunez
88
Substitutes for AVS
Ponck
' Out: T. Galletto
64
Tomané
72' Out: G. Neiva
72
G. Molina
' Out: T. Akinsola
88
statistics
68 Ball Possession 32
1 Goals 2
1.81 Expected Goals 1.54
match facts

REFEREE

M. Torres

  • Nacional won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while AVS drew 4 of their last 5 games - expect a cautious approach.
  • The two sides drew 1-1 and 2-2 in their last 2 meetings, with all 5 head-to-heads seeing both teams score.
  • AVS are winless in 5 away games and have scored just 3 goals in that stretch, struggling on the road.
  • Nacional average 1.22 goals per game, while AVS average exactly 1.00 - likely a low-scoring affair.
  • The median stats show AVS hold 51% possession away, slightly edging Nacional's 49% at home.
  • Both teams average nearly the same number of shots per game (Nacional 11.71, AVS 11.06), showing attacking parity.
  • Nacional's defense is rated 70% stronger than AVS's per the prediction model, key to keeping a clean sheet.
  • Poisson distribution heavily favors Nacional at 75%, reflecting their home advantage in scoring probability.
  • Head-to-head analysis gives Nacional an 85% edge, though recent results have been close draws.
  • The "Double Chance: Nacional or Draw" market offers extremely low odds of 1.13, indicating heavy favorite status.
  • AVS have conceded 3 or more goals in 2 of their last 5 away matches, a defensive vulnerability Nacional can exploit.
  • Overall form and team strength combine to give Nacional a 69.8% total advantage, making them clear favorites.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
27 Corners 41
73 Fouls 73
7 Offsides 5
93 Shots 91
35 Shots on Goal 20
12 Yellow Cards 15
1 Red Cards 1
10 Goals 7
7 Goals Conceded 10
1 Clean Sheets 0
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#14
34
9
7
18
-8
34
#18
34
3
12
19
-40
21