Harrogate Town vs Bury

FA Cup 2026-2027 | 4th Round Qualifying

Harrogate Town

w w w w d

- - -

Bury

w w w d

11.62 X3.95 24.24

Predictions

	Probability % 1 x 2	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Harrogate Town Bury	Probability % 1 x 2 55% 22% 23%	Pred 1	Avg. Goal 3.05	Score Pred. 3-0

	Probability % Under / Over 2.5	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Harrogate Town Bury	Probability % Under / Over 2.5 41% 59%	Pred Over	Avg. Goal 3.05	Score Pred. 3-0

	HТ/FT Probability %	HT Pred.	FT Pred.	Score Pred.
Harrogate Town Bury	HТ/FT Probability % 33%	HT Pred. 1	FT Pred. 1	Score Pred. 3-0

	Probability % Yes/ No	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Harrogate Town Bury	Probability % Yes/ No 57% 43%	Pred Yes	Avg. Goal 3.05	Score Pred. 3-0

	Probability %	Pred.	Avg. Goal	Score Pred.
Harrogate Town Bury	Probability % 50%	Pred Away -1	Avg. Goal 3.05	Score Pred. 3-0

Winner : Bury

Form and context

Harrogate Town come into this FA Cup tie unbeaten across their last five matches in all competitions, including a 1-1 draw at Bury on 2026-10-17. Bury are also unbeaten in their recent run, with that same draw following wins over Bromsgrove Sporting, Workington and Wythenshawe Amateurs. The two sides meet again just three days after their first encounter.

Team news

Harrogate Town: No confirmed team news yet.
Bury: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

Harrogate have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across the 10 matches counted in all competitions.
Bury's recent form in all competitions reads: 1-1 vs Harrogate Town, 2-1 vs Bromsgrove Sporting, 5-1 vs Workington and 8-0 vs Wythenshawe Amateurs.
The only head-to-head on record ended 1-1 on 2026-10-17, with the winner listed as a draw.
Harrogate's last five in all competitions: 1-1 at Bury, 1-0 at Woking, 3-0 vs AFC Hornchurch, 1-0 at Hartlepool and 4-1 vs Eastleigh.

Our view

Harrogate's steady defensive record - one goal conceded per game on average - meets a Bury side that has scored freely against lower-level opposition but was held at home in the first meeting. With no confirmed team news on either side, the recent head-to-head is the clearest guide.

Most likely outcome: draw - the sides played out a 1-1 draw only three days ago, and Harrogate's tight defensive numbers suggest another close contest.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM