Estrela vs Famalicao
Double chance : Estrela or draw
Estrela come into this match in decent spirits. They have not lost in their last five games, though they have drawn a lot of them. Their most recent game was a strong away win, which should give them confidence. Famalicao, on the other hand, have been struggling. They have only won one of their last five matches and have lost their last two away games, looking a bit low on energy.
When these two teams have met recently, the games have been very tight. Four of their last six meetings have ended in a draw, and three of those ended 0-0. Goals have been rare between them, so this could be a cautious, low-scoring affair. Because Estrela are in better form and playing at home, they look like the more likely side to edge this, but a draw is also a very real possibility.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Estrela
Substitutes for Famalicao REFEREE
V. Ferreira
- Estrela are unbeaten in their last five home matches, but four of those games ended in draws.
- Famalicao have failed to win in four of their last five away games, with two losses and two draws.
- The last two head-to-head meetings between these sides finished 0-0, and three of the last five were goalless draws.
- Estrela won the most recent encounter 2-3 away from home in December 2025, snapping a three-game winless run against Famalicao.
- Historically, this fixture is ultra-tight: of the last six head-to-head matches, three ended level, two were Estrela wins, and one was a Famalicao victory.
- Famalicao have scored at least once in four of their last five away matches, while Estrela have conceded in four of their last five home games.
- Both teams average roughly one goal per game this season (Estrela 0.98, Famalicao 1.05), suggesting a low-scoring affair.
- Famalicao post superior attacking numbers away from home, averaging 12.1 shots per game compared to Estrela’s 10.25 at home.
- The prediction model gives Estrela a 45% win probability and Famalicao just 10%, with a draw also at 45% - heavily favoring the home side or a stalemate.
- Estrela dominate the attacking comparison (78% vs 22%) but trail Famalicao in defensive metrics (40% vs 60%), leaving them vulnerable at the back.
- The best betting value per odds is a “Double Chance: Estrela or Draw” at 1.60 with Betano, highlighting the low risk of a home loss.
- Both teams average 3 yellow cards per game, while Estrela are expected to edge possession (56% vs 44%) - a tightly contested midfield battle is likely.
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2024-2025
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2023-2024
Famalicao
Last matches for EST
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
0
Casa Pia
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
0
Arouca
1
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
0
Academico Viseu
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
3
Rio Ave
3
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
2
SC Braga
1
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
2
Famalicao
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
3
Nacional
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
2
Alverca
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Estrela
2
Sporting CP
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Estrela
2
SC Braga
2
Last matches for FAM
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
0
Rio Ave
0
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
1
Alverca
4
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
4
Nacional
0
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
1
Sporting CP
1
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
2
Estrela
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
0
GIL Vicente
0
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
0
Santa Clara
1
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
1
Maritimo
2
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Famalicao
1
Estoril
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Famalicao
1
Alverca
0
