Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK

Sturm Graz
w d l w l
6 - 1
3.63
xG
0.61
Full Time
Grazer AK
l d w d d
37'
J. Heil
39'
O. Diakité
41'
O. Diakité
49'
O. Diakité
51'
J. Gorenc Stankovic
75'
C. Cvetko
10'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Grazer AK Grazer AK
Probability %
1 x 2
52%
25%
23%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.88
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Grazer AK Grazer AK
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
45%
55%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.88
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Grazer AK Grazer AK
HТ/FT Probability %
30%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Grazer AK Grazer AK
Probability %
Yes/ No
58%
42%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.88
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Grazer AK Grazer AK
Probability %
66%
Pred
Away -1.25
Avg. Goal
2.88
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw

Sturm Graz have had a rough run lately, losing several games before finally getting a win in their most recent match. Grazer AK, on the other hand, have been harder to beat - they've picked up a few draws and a win, though they also had a loss. Neither team is in great scoring form, and their recent games haven't been full of goals.

These two teams are local rivals, and the match looks like it could go either way. Sturm Graz have home advantage and a slightly better recent record, but Grazer AK have been stubborn and difficult to break down. With both sides struggling to score consistently and the recent matches between them tending to be tight, this one looks very close - most likely a draw or a narrow win for Sturm Graz.

Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
starting lineups
 
D. Khudyakov
 
P. Koller
 
J. Quarshie
 
A. Malic
 
L. Balbo
7.95
 
J. Gorenc Stankovic
7.17
 
J. Heil
 
V. Matoshi
 
S. Seidl
9.43
 
O. Diakité
 
C. Stanković
 
M. Sollbauer
 
Y. Oberleitner
 
L. Klassen
6.84
 
C. Cvetko
 
P. Michorl
 
Anderson
 
C. Lichtenberger
 
J. Italiano
6.31
 
A. Hofleitner
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Sturm Graz
A. Helac
' Out: D. Khudyakov
28
J. Hodl
' Out: J. Quarshie
59
A. Vallci
' Out: L. Balbo
59
S. Wlodarczyk
60' Out: O. Diakité
60
Julian Halwachs
72' Out:
72
Substitutes for Grazer AK
M. Große
' Out: C. Lichtenberger
45
T. Trummer
' Out: Anderson
45
T. Koch
76' Out: C. Cvetko
76
S. Mandey
' Out: L. Klassen
76
statistics
55 Ball Possession 45
6 Goals 1
3.63 Expected Goals 0.61
match facts

REFEREE

J. Weinberger

STADIUM

Merkur Arena

LOCATION

Graz

  • This is a Bundesliga 2026-2027 clash between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK at the Merkur Arena.
  • It is a Graz city derby, adding local pride and intensity to the encounter.
  • Sturm Graz have won just one of their last five matches (W1 D1 L3).
  • Grazer AK are unbeaten in four of their last five, but have drawn three of those games.
  • Sturm Graz have struggled for goals recently, averaging only 0.65 goals per game.
  • Grazer AK average 1.46 goals per game, more than double their hosts' output.
  • Sturm Graz average 41.04% possession, suggesting they often concede control of the ball.
  • Grazer AK average 49.50% possession, giving them a slight edge in midfield control.
  • Sturm Graz average 12.73 shots per game, more than Grazer AK's 10.16.
  • The prediction model gives both Sturm Graz and the draw a 45% chance, with Grazer AK at just 10%.
  • The recommended bet is Double Chance: Sturm Graz or Draw, priced at 1.22 with Betano.
  • There is no head-to-head history available, making this a fresh derby matchup.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
head to head
all competitions
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
7 Corners 2
8 Fouls 17
5 Offsides 1
23 Shots 12
10 Shots on Goal 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goals 1
1 Goals Conceded 6
0 Clean Sheets 0
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#4
9
5
2
2
6
17
#8
9
2
3
4
-15
9
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.87
Pinnacle
3.88
Pinnacle
4.12
Pinnacle
96.60 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.87
3.88
4.12
96.60%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.83
3.60
4.10
93.62%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.80
3.60
3.90
91.76%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.80
3.72
4.08
93.50%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.78
3.72
4.10
93.07%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.43
Pinnacle
2.43
Pinnacle
4.62
Pinnacle
96.20 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.43
2.43
4.62
96.20%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.38
2.38
4.33
93.35%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.31
2.26
4.57
91.39%
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.30
2.30
4.00
89.32%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.29
2.26
4.45
90.59%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.20
William Hill
2.66
Marathonbet
4.07
1xBet
92.92 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.20
2.50
3.80
89.47%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.11
2.66
4.07
91.28%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.10
2.62
3.75
88.93%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.09
2.66
3.98
90.44%