Napoli vs Lecce
R. Hojlund
46'
M. Politano
67'
Jamil Siebert
3'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Double chance : Napoli or draw
Napoli's recent form has been quite mixed, with a couple of wins, a draw, and a couple of losses in their last few games. Lecce, on the other hand, has also been struggling for consistency, having lost their last two matches after a couple of good wins. When these two teams met earlier in the season, it was a very close game with only one goal deciding it.
Looking at how both teams have been performing, this match seems like it could be quite tight and competitive. Neither side is coming in with dominant, winning form, which often leads to a close contest. Based on their current shape and the fact their last meeting was so close, this game looks most likely to end in a draw.
Last Updated: 12 Mar 2026 07:24 AM
Substitutes for Napoli S. McTominay
' Out: E. Elmas
46
K. De Bruyne
' Out: F. Anguissa
46
M. Gutierrez
72' Out: M. Politano
72
P. Mazzocchi
' Out: L. Spinazzola
72
Giovane
' Out: Alisson Santos
85
Substitutes for Lecce O. Gandelman
' Out: L. Coulibaly
46
W. Cheddira
' Out: N. Štulić
59
K. Ndri
' Out: S. Pierotti
79
C. Ndaba
' Out: A. Gallo
79
Sadik Fofana
' Out: O. Ngom
85
REFEREE
R. Abisso
- This is a Serie A 2025-2026 fixture between Napoli and Lecce.
- Napoli won the previous meeting this season 1-0 in October 2025.
- Napoli's recent form is mixed with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.
- Lecce have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, winning the other two.
- Napoli averages 1.41 goals per game this season, while Lecce averages just 0.53.
- Napoli averages significantly more shots per game (13.61) than Lecce (9.79).
- Napoli typically enjoys higher possession (55.87%) compared to Lecce (42.75%).
- Prediction models heavily favor Napoli not to lose, with a double chance (Napoli or Draw) at 90% probability.
- The head-to-head comparison gives Napoli a massive 93% advantage over Lecce.
- Statistical models show Napoli with a 77% advantage in poisson distribution, indicating a higher likelihood of scoring.
- Lecce's defensive stats are rated slightly higher (53%) than Napoli's (47%) in the comparison.
- The highest odds for the predicted 'Double Chance: Home/Draw' outcome are 1.08 from Pinnacle.
6/
2/
0
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Napoli
2
-
1
14 Mar, 2026
Serie A 2025-2026
Serie A 2025-2026
Lecce
Lecce
0
-
1
28 Oct, 2025
Serie A 2025-2026
Serie A 2025-2026
Napoli
Lecce
0
-
1
03 May, 2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Napoli
Napoli
1
-
0
26 Oct, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Lecce
Napoli
0
-
0
26 May, 2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Lecce
Lecce
0
-
4
30 Sep, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Napoli
Lecce
1
-
2
07 Apr, 2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Napoli
Napoli
1
-
1
31 Aug, 2022
Serie A 2022-2023
Serie A 2022-2023
Lecce
Total
Per Match
51
Corners
32
6.4
Corners
4
79
Fouls
95
9.9
Fouls
11.9
8
Offsides
11
1
Offsides
1.4
125
Shots
78
15.6
Shots
9.8
38
Shots on Goal
18
4.8
Shots on Goal
2.3
8
Yellow Cards
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
12
Goals
3
1.5
Goals
0.4
3
Goals Conceded
12
0.4
Goals Conceded
1.5
5
Clean Sheets
1
0.6
Clean Sheets
0.1
Last matches for NAP
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
20 OCT, 2026
Napoli
4
Bodo/Glimt
3
W
Serie A 2026-2027
17 OCT, 2026
Napoli
0
Venezia
1
L
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
13 OCT, 2026
Napoli
1
Villarreal
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Napoli
3
Frosinone
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Napoli
1
Fiorentina
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Napoli
1
Bologna
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
09 SEP, 2026
Napoli
0
Arsenal
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Napoli
2
Inter
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Napoli
1
Como
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Napoli
2
Genoa
0
W
Last matches for LEC
Serie A 2026-2027
18 OCT, 2026
Lecce
3
Udinese
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
11 OCT, 2026
Lecce
1
Bologna
2
L
Serie A 2026-2027
20 SEP, 2026
Lecce
0
AC Milan
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
13 SEP, 2026
Lecce
3
Monza
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
07 SEP, 2026
Lecce
0
Cagliari
1
L
Serie A 2026-2027
31 AUG, 2026
Lecce
0
AS Roma
4
L
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Lecce
2
Venezia
0
W
Coppa Italia 2026-2027
17 AUG, 2026
Lecce
0
Palermo
2
L
Serie A 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Lecce
1
Genoa
0
W
Serie A 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Lecce
0
Juventus
1
L
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PL
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D
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GD
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