Form and context

Leganes are in a difficult spell and have lost four league games in a row, failing to score in that run while conceding ten. The club has changed coach, with Luis Carrion now in charge. Mallorca are unbeaten in their last three in all competitions, including a 1-1 draw at Eibar and a 3-1 win over Las Palmas.

Team news

• Leganes: Alvaro Morata is suspended for this match. Dani Rodriguez is available and is set to face his former club. No other confirmed team news yet.
• Mallorca: Luis Garcia confirmed up to seven absences: Josep Cerda, Jan Salas, Arnau Puigmal, Dani Luna, Antoniu Roca and Manu Morlanes are out, while John Donald is suspended. Salas has a right thigh muscle injury and will be out for several weeks. Puigmal is still not at full fitness.

What the numbers say

• Leganes have scored no goals in their last four league matches and conceded ten.
• Mallorca have averaged 1.2 goals for and 0.5 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Leganes have averaged 0.6 goals for and 1.5 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Mallorca won the most recent head-to-head 1-0, and the two meetings before that were also Mallorca wins; the 2025 meeting ended in a draw.

Our view

Leganes are looking for a reaction under a new coach, but the run of four straight defeats without a goal is a heavy burden, and Morata's suspension removes a key attacking option. Mallorca arrive with a long injury list but have been the stronger side in recent weeks and in this fixture historically.

Most likely outcome: away win - Mallorca's recent form and head-to-head record outweigh Leganes' new-coach bounce.