Rodez vs Montpellier
N. Pays
55'
L. Megnan-Pave
59'
Daryll Benlahlou
76'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rodez
Montpellier
|
Probability %
1
x
2
30%
26%
44%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
1-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rodez
Montpellier
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
41%
59%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
1-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rodez
Montpellier
|
HТ/FT Probability %
25%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rodez
Montpellier
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
62%
38%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
1-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rodez
Montpellier
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Away -0.25
|
Avg. Goal
3.08
|
Score Pred.
1-3
|
Double chance : draw or Montpellier
Form and context
Rodez come into this Ligue 2 fixture at Stade Paul Lignon on a difficult run in all competitions, having lost four of their last five, including a 2-0 defeat at Saint Etienne and a 3-4 home loss to Nancy. Montpellier have been far more solid in all competitions, winning three of their last five and conceding just 0.8 goals per game across their last ten. The two sides have met twice recently, with Rodez winning 1-0 in February 2026 and Montpellier winning 2-0 in October 2025.
Team news
- Rodez: No confirmed team news yet.
- Montpellier: No confirmed team news yet.
What the numbers say
- Rodez have scored 1.7 and conceded 2.0 goals per game across their last ten matches in all competitions.
- Montpellier average 1.0 goal for and 0.8 against over the same span in all competitions.
- The model gives the draw and away win 45% each, with a home win at 10%.
- Head-to-head form favours Montpellier at 60% against Rodez's 40%.
Our view
Montpellier's defensive record in all competitions stands out against a Rodez side that has been leaking goals and losing regularly. Rodez's recent home win over Montpellier shows they can compete in this fixture, but the overall trend points the other way.
Most likely outcome: draw - Montpellier's low-scoring profile and Rodez's struggles make a tight, level game the single most plausible result.
Last Updated: 20 Oct 2026 11:55 AM
Substitutes for Rodez 
D. Pavlović
' Out: O. Joly
62
E. Jean-Lambert
' Out: S. Luyambula
62
A. Cartillier
67' Out: Mathis Saka
67
K. Nagera
' Out: M. Touho
68
K. Nsona
' Out: N. Nsingi
80
Substitutes for Montpellier
Daryll Benlahlou
' Out: N. Vidal-Cartoux
56
Y. Zouaoui
' Out: T. Sainte-Luce
70
H. Abderrebi
' Out: F. Tardieu
85
T. Chennahi
85' Out: L. Megnan-Pave
85
REFEREE
G. Kubler
STADIUM
Stade Paul Lignon
LOCATION
Rodez
- Rodez host Montpellier at the Stade Paul Lignon in Ligue 2 action.
- Head-to-head history favours Montpellier, who won both recent meetings 1-0 and 2-0.
- Rodez come into the game on a 2-0 defeat to their name.
- Montpellier's last outing also ended in a 2-0 loss.
- Rodez have won two of their last five matches, with one draw.
- Montpellier are winless in five, with two draws and three defeats.
- Montpellier have been the more defensively rated side, holding a 76% edge in that metric.
- Form comparison strongly favours Montpellier at 89% versus Rodez's 11%.
- Rodez average 1.12 goals per game, while Montpellier average 1.16.
- Montpellier hold a slight possession edge, averaging 47.15% to Rodez's 43.84%.
- The prediction model gives a 45% chance to each of a draw and a Montpellier win.
- The recommended bet is a Double Chance on Draw or Montpellier at odds of 1.44 with William Hill.
1/
0/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
16
Corners
19
38
Fouls
43
5
Offsides
3
39
Shots
54
13
Shots on Goal
16
3
Yellow Cards
6
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goals
5
5
Goals Conceded
1
1
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for ROD 
Ligue 2 2026-2027
19 OCT, 2026
Rodez
0
Montpellier
3
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
10 OCT, 2026
Rodez
0
Saint Etienne
2
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
18 SEP, 2026
Rodez
3
Nancy
4
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
11 SEP, 2026
Rodez
0
Grenoble
1
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Rodez
1
Metz
4
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
Rodez
2
PAU
2
D
Ligue 2 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Rodez
5
Nantes
2
W
Ligue 2 2026-2027
14 AUG, 2026
Rodez
0
Annecy
2
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
08 AUG, 2026
Rodez
3
Laval
1
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
15 MAY, 2026
Rodez
0
Saint Etienne
0
D
Last matches for MON
Ligue 2 2026-2027
19 OCT, 2026
Montpellier
3
Rodez
0
W
Ligue 2 2026-2027
09 OCT, 2026
Montpellier
2
Grenoble
0
W
Ligue 2 2026-2027
18 SEP, 2026
Montpellier
1
Reims
1
D
Ligue 2 2026-2027
11 SEP, 2026
Montpellier
1
PAU
0
W
Ligue 2 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Montpellier
1
Saint Etienne
3
L
Ligue 2 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
Montpellier
0
Boulogne
0
D
Ligue 2 2026-2027
21 AUG, 2026
Montpellier
1
Dunkerque
0
W
Ligue 2 2026-2027
14 AUG, 2026
Montpellier
1
Nancy
0
W
Ligue 2 2026-2027
08 AUG, 2026
Montpellier
1
Dijon
1
D
Ligue 2 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Montpellier
1
Clermont Foot
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
3.35
Pinnacle
3.85
Pinnacle
2.24
SBO
99.53 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.35
3.85
2.08
96.24%
Betfair
3.20
3.60
2.05
92.76%
Betano
3.20
3.65
2.15
95.09%
Dafabet
3.15
3.70
2.16
95.18%
William Hill
3.10
3.50
2.05
91.23%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.85
Pinnacle
2.43
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
96.63 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.85
2.43
2.68
95.75%
1xBet
Bonus
3.66
2.24
2.66
91.27%
Betfair
3.60
2.30
2.50
89.88%
Marathonbet
3.56
2.24
2.64
90.41%
Betano
3.55
2.30
2.70
92.01%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.30
William Hill
2.75
Betano
2.60
Bet365
95.12 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
3.30
2.50
2.38
89.03%
1xBet
Bonus
3.22
2.72
2.40
91.33%
Betano
3.20
2.75
2.37
91.07%
Marathonbet
3.15
2.72
2.38
90.48%
Bet365
3.00
2.60
2.60
90.70%
