Nantes vs Toulouse
Double chance : draw or Toulouse
Nantes are in awful shape right now. They have lost their last four matches and haven't won in five games, picking up just one draw in that run. Toulouse might not be in top form either, but they look much stronger by comparison. They have won two of their last five games and are coming off a narrow loss. Recent meetings between these two have been very tight and low-scoring. The last three times they played each other, both teams drew, and two of those ended with no goals at all. There have been very few goals in their recent matches.
Given how badly Nantes are struggling and how close this rivalry usually is, it’s hard to see Nantes suddenly finding a win here. Toulouse have been the more impressive side this season and have a better recent record. It looks like this match could easily end in a draw or a narrow win for Toulouse. Nantes simply don't have the confidence or the results to be favorites here.
Last Updated: 15 May 2026 06:01 PMWHO WILL WIN?
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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
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REFEREE
S. Frappart
STADIUM
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
LOCATION
Nantes
- Nantes are on a winless run of 5 league games (D1, L4) heading into this clash, while Toulouse have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.
- The last three H2H meetings have all ended in draws (2-2, 0-0, 0-0), making this a notoriously tight fixture.
- Toulouse have won each of the last two H2H encounters at Stade de la Beaujoire, both by a 2-1 scoreline.
- Nantes have lost their last four Ligue 1 matches without scoring a single goal.
- Toulouse average 1.56 goals per game this season compared to Nantes' 1.10, showing superior attacking output.
- The visitors also hold the edge in average possession (50.45% vs 43.35%) and shots per game (12.87 vs 11.09).
- The prediction model heavily favours a draw or an away win, giving that double chance the best odds at 1.54.
- Toulouse are given a 55.2% overall chance of victory according to the comprehensive prediction comparison, compared to Nantes' 44.8%.
- The form comparison heavily tilts towards Toulouse (64% to 36%), highlighting their recent momentum vs Nantes' slump.
- Nantes' defensive rating is stronger (61%) than their attack (38%), suggesting they will rely on a solid backline to stop Toulouse.
- Interestingly, the H2H and goals comparisons are split evenly at 50% each, indicating a highly unpredictable match-up.
- Toulouse's away form shows a mix, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five, including a 4-0 thrashing of their opponent.
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nantes
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Nantes
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Nantes
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Nantes
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Nantes
Last matches for NAN
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
2
Dunkerque
3
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
0
Reims
0
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
2
Boulogne
1
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
0
Sochaux
1
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
1
Nancy
0
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
3
Guingamp
3
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
2
Rodez
5
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
1
Laval
2
Ligue 2 2026-2027
Nantes
0
RED Star FC 93
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nantes
0
Lens
1
Last matches for TOU
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
3
Le Mans
0
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
2
Monaco
2
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
3
Le Havre
2
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
2
Lorient
2
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
0
Lille
1
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
2
Stade Brestois 29
2
Ligue 1 2026-2027
Toulouse
0
Lyon
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Toulouse
0
Nantes
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Toulouse
2
Lyon
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Toulouse
2
Monaco
2
