Pachuca come into this one in decent shape at home. They've won three of their last five matches and are unbeaten in that stretch, with two draws. Toluca have been more up and down — they've had a couple of heavy defeats recently, though they did grab a win in their most recent game. When these two meet, goals have usually been on the menu, with plenty of recent meetings ending with both teams scoring.

These games between Pachuca and Toluca tend to be open and entertaining, and the recent head-to-head record shows both sides winning in turn. Given Pachuca's stronger recent form and home advantage, they look the more likely side to come out on top, though Toluca are dangerous enough to make this a close contest. A narrow Pachuca win seems the most realistic outcome.