Form and context

Sirius sit top of the Allsvenskan table heading into this home fixture against AIK. Sirius are unbeaten across their last five in all competitions, including a 2-2 draw with IF Elfsborg on 18 October and a 1-0 win at Gais on 10 October. AIK have won none of their last five in all competitions, a run that includes a 5-6 home defeat to IF Brommapojkarna and a 1-4 home loss to Vasteras SK FK.

Team news

• Sirius: No confirmed team news yet.
• AIK Stockholm: Martin Ellingsen is back in full training and ready to play again, though he is still waiting for his Allsvenskan debut. AIK's injury list remains long, with Dino Besirovic, Ibrahim Cisse, Kevin Filling, Adrian Helm, Sotirios Papagiannopoulous and Andreas Redkin all named.

What the numbers say

• Sirius average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across the last 10 matches counted; AIK average 2.0 scored and 2.4 conceded.
• AIK's recent matches have been high-scoring, including the 5-6 loss to Brommapojkarna and the 2-2 draw with IFK Goteborg.
• Sirius won the most recent meeting 3-0 away at AIK on 30 May 2026; AIK won 2-1 in August 2025, and Sirius won 3-1 in June 2025.
• The prediction model splits 45% home win and 45% draw, with 10% for an away win.

Our view

Sirius arrive in strong form and at the top of the table, while AIK are without a win in five in all competitions and still carry a lengthy injury list. The return of Ellingsen to full training is a positive for AIK, but it may not be enough against the league leaders.

Most likely outcome: home win - Sirius' unbeaten run and league-leading position outweigh AIK's current struggles.