Form and context

Bayern München come into this Champions League matchday three fixture on the back of a 6-1 win over RB Leipzig in all competitions, and they sit top of the Bundesliga on 14 points from six games. Arsenal are second in England on 18 points and have won both of their league phase matches so far without conceding, beating Napoli 1-0 and Lille 3-0. The Gunners won the most recent meeting 3-1 in London last season.

Team news

• Bayern München: Michael Olise is suspended after two yellow cards in the draw with Viking, and Jamal Musiala is out with a thigh problem. Manuel Neuer is a doubt with a foot issue and his fitness will be assessed, with Jonas Urbig ready to deputise.
• Arsenal: Piero Hincapié (ankle), William Saliba (back) and Christos Tzolis (hamstring) are unavailable. Kepa Arrizabalaga picked up an injury in training and was left out of the squad at Forest.

What the numbers say

• Bayern have not lost a home group stage/league phase match in this competition since December 2013 - 37 wins and two draws from 39 games.
• Arsenal have won their last 14 Champions League group stage/league phase matches.
• Harry Kane has scored in nine consecutive Champions League matches and has 15 goals in 22 career appearances against Arsenal.
• Bayern average 3.9 goals scored per match across their last 10 in all competitions, Arsenal 1.9.

Our view

Bayern's home record in this stage of the competition is formidable, but Arsenal's perfect defensive start and long winning run in the league phase make this finely balanced. The absences of Olise and possibly Neuer cut into Bayern's edge, while Arsenal must cope without Saliba and Hincapié at the back.

Most likely outcome: draw - Bayern's unbeaten home league-phase run meets an Arsenal side yet to concede in Europe this season.