Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal

Paris Saint Germain
d d w w l
1 - 1
1.77
xG
0.44
Penalties 4-3
Arsenal
w w w w w
O. Dembele
65'
K. Havertz
6'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Arsenal

This UEFA Champions League match between Paris Saint Germain and Arsenal looks like it could be very tight. Looking at recent results, both teams have been struggling with consistency. Paris Saint Germain have won only one of their last five matches, with two losses and two draws. Arsenal have also had a mixed run, winning two and losing three of their last five games.

The head-to-head meetings between these two sides have been close and competitive. In their three recent matches, there have been goals in every game, with the last meeting having three goals (a 2-1 scoreline). Arsenal won the most recent clash, while PSG won the one before that. Both teams have strong attacks but have also shown defensive weaknesses recently, so this match is likely to be an open contest where either side could win, making a draw a very real possibility.

Last Updated: 28 May 2026 07:20 AM
starting lineups
 
M. Safonov
7.3
 
N. Mendes
 
W. Pacho
 
Marquinhos
 
A. Hakimi
 
F. Ruiz
 
Vitinha
7.6
 
J. Neves
 
K. Kvaratskhelia
7.3
 
O. Dembele
 
D. Doue
 
David Raya
 
P. Hincapie
 
Gabriel
 
W. Saliba
6.2
 
C. Mosquera
 
M. Lewis-Skelly
7.7
 
D. Rice
 
L. Trossard
 
M. Odegaard
6.2
 
B. Saka
7.3
 
K. Havertz
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Paris Saint Germain
B. Barcola
' Out: K. Kvaratskhelia
83
Gonçalo Ramos
90' Out: O. Dembele
90
W. Zaire-Emery
' Out: F. Ruiz
95
I. Zabarnyi
' Out: Marquinhos
106
L. Beraldo
' Out: Vitinha
106
Substitutes for Arsenal
J. Timber
66' Out: C. Mosquera
66
V. Gyökeres
' Out: M. Odegaard
66
G. Martinelli
' Out: L. Trossard
83
N. Madueke
83' Out: B. Saka
83
M. Zubimendi
' Out: M. Lewis-Skelly
91
Eberechi Eze
91' Out: K. Havertz
91
statistics
75 Ball Possession 25
1 Goals 1
1.77 Expected Goals 0.44
match facts

REFEREE

D. Siebert

  • PSG average 2.30 goals per game with 63.47% possession, while Arsenal average 1.93 goals with 55.94% possession.
  • PSG's attack is rated at 72%, compared to Arsenal's 28%, making Paris the clear offensive favorite.
  • Arsenal hold a defensive advantage at 83% over PSG's 17%, suggesting a strong backline for the London side.
  • The prediction gives a 45% chance for a draw and 45% for an Arsenal win, with only 10% for a PSG victory.
  • Arsenal are strong favorites based on Poisson distribution (79% to 21%) and goalscoring potential (63% to 38%).
  • The overall prediction rating favors Arsenal at 58.2% compared to PSG's 42.0%.
  • In recent head-to-head matches, PSG lost 2-1 and Arsenal won 1-0 in the 2024-2025 Champions League semi-finals.
  • PSG are in mixed form with two losses, two draws, and only one win in their last five matches.
  • Arsenal have been inconsistent on the road, winning two and losing three of their last five away games.
  • The highest odds for this match are for a Draw/Away double chance at 1.65 with Betano.
  • PSG average 15.94 shots per game, slightly more than Arsenal's 14.68, but Arsenal's median shots are higher at 11 to 10.
  • Both teams average two yellow cards per match, indicating a similar discipline level.
Last Updated: 28 May 2026 07:20 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
19 Corners 13
45 Fouls 51
3 Offsides 11
53 Shots 42
16 Shots on Goal 15
7 Yellow Cards 12
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goals 4
4 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
9
6
3
0
12
21
#3
7
3
4
0
4
13