Form and context

Morton host Ayr Utd at Cappielow Park on Saturday after back-to-back wins in all competitions, including a 2-0 victory over Queen's Park on 17 October that brought their first clean sheet of the season. Ayr Utd lost 0-1 at home to Partick on 16 October and have won two of their last five in all competitions. The sides drew 1-1 when they met on 29 August.

Team news

• Morton: Goalkeeper Elyh Harrison has returned from a short groin injury lay-off and kept a clean sheet against Queen's Park. Jackson Longridge has returned to the centre of defence alongside Phil Croker, with Cammy Ballantyne and Calvin Okike at full-back.
• Ayr Utd: No confirmed team news yet.

What the numbers say

• Morton's last five in all competitions: 2-0 win over Queen's Park, 2-1 win at Arbroath, 1-2 home loss to Raith Rovers, 0-2 loss at Inverness CT, 0-1 home loss to Dunfermline.
• Ayr Utd's last five in all competitions: 0-1 home loss to Partick, 1-1 home draw with Dunfermline, 2-1 win at Livingston, 0-1 home loss to Stenhousemuir, 2-0 win at Queen's Park.
• Morton average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded across their last 10 matches; Ayr Utd average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
• The last eight head-to-heads include three draws, two Morton wins and one Ayr Utd win, with the most recent a 1-1 draw on 29 August.

Our view

Morton come in with momentum from two straight wins and a settled back four in front of Harrison, while Ayr Utd have been inconsistent at home of late. The head-to-head record is tight, with draws common in recent meetings, so a close game looks likely.

Most likely outcome: draw - three of the last eight meetings ended level and the sides look evenly matched.