Manchester United vs Bournemouth

Manchester United
d d l d l
0 - 3
1.17
xG
2.21
Full Time
Bournemouth
l l w w w
Rayan
38'
M. Tavernier
43'
Evanilson
71'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Manchester United Manchester United
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Probability %
1 x 2
40%
28%
32%
Pred
X
Avg. Goal
2.8
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Manchester United Manchester United
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
47%
53%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
2.8
Score Pred.
2-1
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Manchester United Manchester United
Bournemouth Bournemouth
HТ/FT Probability %
23%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Manchester United Manchester United
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Probability %
Yes/ No
59%
41%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.8
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Manchester United Manchester United
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Probability %
56%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
2.8
Score Pred.
2-1

Double chance : Manchester United or draw

Form and context

Manchester United are under heavy pressure, having won only once in seven Premier League games this season and going into Sunday on a seven-match winless run in all competitions. Their midweek Champions League trip ended in a 4-1 defeat at Como, while Bournemouth arrive on a three-match winning streak, including a 3-0 Europa League win over AC Milan.

Team news

  • Manchester United: Leny Yoro is available again after suspension and Ayden Heaven is back with the group after illness. Kobbie Mainoo, Luke Shaw, Benjamin Sesko, Patrick Dorgu, Manuel Ugarte and Tom Heaton are in the treatment room, while Lisandro Martinez, Marcus Rashford and Heaven are listed as doubts. One report says Mainoo is still about a week away from returning.
  • Bournemouth: Junior Kroupi is set to be involved for the first time this season after a foot injury, with Marco Rose planning to give him some minutes. Julian Araujo is out with a thigh problem, Alex Scott is out with a muscle issue and Veljko Milosavljevic is a doubt.

What the numbers say

  • United's last five in all competitions: 1-4 at Como, 1-1 at Leeds, 0-2 at Atletico Madrid, 1-1 with Tottenham and 1-1 at Fulham.
  • Bournemouth's last five in all competitions include three straight wins: 3-0 over AC Milan, 2-0 over Sunderland and 3-0 over Sturm Graz, plus a 5-1 loss at Chelsea.
  • United average 1.7 goals for and 1.7 against across their last 10; Bournemouth average 2.0 for and 1.2 against.
  • The last five head-to-head meetings produced four draws, including 2-2 in March 2026 and 4-4 in December 2025, with Bournemouth winning the other 3-0.

Our view

United need a response in front of their own fans, but their recent results and the number of absentees make this a difficult fixture. Bournemouth are in better rhythm and have shown they can score freely, though the quick turnaround after Thursday's European game is a concern.

Most likely outcome: draw - the head-to-head record is full of stalemates and Bournemouth's momentum is offset by the short recovery time.

Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:31 PM
starting lineups
 
S. Lammens
 
D. Dalot
6.15
 
A. Heaven
6.07
 
H. Maguire
 
L. Yoro
 
C. Baleba
6.5
 
Andrey Santos
 
M. Mount
5.27
 
Y. Tielemans
 
A. Diallo
 
B. Mbeumo
 
D. Petrovic
 
A. Truffert
 
António Silva
 
J. Hill
 
A. Smith
 
L. Cook
6.61
 
T. Adams
8.2
 
M. Tavernier
 
J. Kluivert
7.5
 
Rayan
8.11
 
Evanilson
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Manchester United
M. Cunha
45' Out: Y. Tielemans
45
L. Martinez
65' Out: A. Heaven
65
J. Zirkzee
' Out: C. Baleba
72
S. Lacey
' Out: A. Diallo
78
Substitutes for Bournemouth
B. Doak
' Out: J. Kluivert
63
R. Christie
' Out: L. Cook
75
A. Adli
87' Out: M. Tavernier
87
E. J. Kroupi
87' Out: Evanilson
87
B. Diakite
' Out: A. Smith
87
statistics
62 Ball Possession 38
0 Goals 3
1.17 Expected Goals 2.21
match facts

REFEREE

J. Gillett

STADIUM

Old Trafford

LOCATION

Manchester

  • Manchester United host Bournemouth at Old Trafford in the Premier League 2026-2027.
  • The last three meetings between these sides all ended in draws, including a 4-4 thriller and two 2-2 scorelines.
  • Bournemouth have won three of the last seven head-to-heads, all by a 0-3 scoreline away from home.
  • Manchester United are winless in their last five matches, with two draws and three defeats.
  • Bournemouth have lost four of their last five, conceding three or more goals in three of those defeats.
  • United average 1.40 goals per game this season, compared to Bournemouth's 1.14.
  • United also edge the shot count with 14.41 per game versus Bournemouth's 13.50.
  • Possession leans toward the hosts, with United averaging 52.83% against Bournemouth's 46.27%.
  • Median match stats show United dominating with 19 shots and 56% possession to Bournemouth's 12 and 44%.
  • The prediction model gives Manchester United a 45% win chance and the draw 45%, with Bournemouth at just 10%.
  • The Poisson distribution strongly favours United at 73% versus Bournemouth's 27%.
  • Recommended bet is a Double Chance on Manchester United or draw, priced at 1.36 with Betano.
Last Updated: 23 Oct 2026 02:31 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
65 Corners 38
101 Fouls 97
7 Offsides 13
170 Shots 105
48 Shots on Goal 41
14 Yellow Cards 22
1 Red Cards 1
13 Goals 18
18 Goals Conceded 13
2 Clean Sheets 3
last matches
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#13
8
2
3
3
-1
9
#16
8
1
4
3
-3
7
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

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99.21 %
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DRAW
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Betano Betano Logo
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1xBet 1xBet Logo
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HIGHEST ODDS

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Bet365
2.58
Marathonbet
3.18
Marathonbet
93.84 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
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2.50
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90.02%
Betano Betano Logo
2.67
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3.00
90.91%
William Hill William Hill Logo
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Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
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1xBet 1xBet Logo
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