Derby have had a mixed run lately, with a couple of wins, some draws and a heavy loss, so they're not in bad shape but not flying either. Bolton, on the other hand, are in really good form - they've won most of their recent games and only lost once, which shows they're playing with confidence right now.

When these two have met recently, Derby have mostly come out on the wrong side, and the games haven't been packed with goals - one was even a scoreless draw. Given Bolton's strong recent run and Derby's inconsistent form, this looks like it could go Bolton's way, though it should be a fairly tight contest rather than a high-scoring one. Bolton look the more likely winners here.