Form and context

Bradford's last five in all competitions include a 3-1 win at Leyton Orient, a 0-0 draw with Burnley and a 2-0 victory over Rochdale, with their most recent outing on 8 September. Peterborough's recent run in all competitions features a 3-3 draw with Barnsley, a 5-1 win at Watford and a 1-0 win at Bristol Rovers, and they were last in action on 15 September. The head-to-head record favours Bradford, who won the most recent meeting 2-0, while the earlier encounter ended in a draw.

Team news

• Bradford: No confirmed team news yet.
• Peterborough: Matt Garbett and Josh Feeney are set to return for the Carabao Cup tie at Bradford. Garbett took a knock to his knee at Huddersfield and was described as a doubt ahead of the Bromley game, but is expected to shake off the issue. Feeney was rested at Bromley. Tom O'Connor returned from a groin injury at Bromley and came through 90 minutes.

What the numbers say

• Bradford have averaged 1.1 goals for and 0.9 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Peterborough have averaged 1.5 goals for and 1.8 against across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Bradford won the most recent head-to-head 2-0, while the previous meeting ended 1-1.
• The prediction model gives Bradford a 45% chance of victory, the draw 45% and Peterborough 10%.

Our view

Bradford's solid defensive numbers and recent head-to-head edge make this a tight contest to call, with Peterborough boosted by the expected returns of Garbett and Feeney. The model sees little separating the sides, with the home win and draw rated equally likely.

Most likely outcome: draw - the prediction model rates the draw and a Bradford win at the same 45%.