Form and context

Brentford have won just one of their last five in all competitions, a 3-0 home win over Chelsea, and were beaten 3-2 at Sunderland on 28 October. Nottingham Forest sit 18th in the Premier League with one win from their first seven games, and they have taken the third-most shots in the division (120) but scored the joint-second fewest goals (5).

Team news

• Brentford: No confirmed team news yet.
• Nottingham Forest: Morgan Gibbs-White missed the Arsenal game with a muscle injury, but the Forest correspondent expects him to be back for this match. James McAtee has started the season in terrific form and is central to how Forest play.

What the numbers say

• Brentford average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across the last 10 matches in all competitions; Forest average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
• Forest have not scored at home in any competition this season, and their struggles in front of goal pre-date Oliver Glasner's arrival.
• Forest have won three of the last four head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 win at Brentford in January 2026 and a 3-1 win in August 2025.
• Glasner has set Forest up with three at the back so far, making the wing-backs key to their approach.

Our view

Brentford's recent results have been mixed, while Forest create plenty of chances but are not converting them. Forest have been better on the road recently, and the head-to-head record favours the visitors.

Most likely outcome: draw - Forest's shot volume suggests goals will come, but their finishing problems make a share of the points the safer read.